RChildress107
Well-known member
has anyone run the numbers on this?
If you assume the drafting team exercises it's options and matches any qualifying offer , that he receives a modest second contract in line with a borderline starter (50 over 4 years) and then plays a couple of years at the veteran minimum, then it makes sense to wait a year if he jumps from 24 to 13.
That's probably best case scenario for Collins career wise. I didn't run the numbers for other scenarios. I assumed a 5% interest rate.
I used the same second contract for Collins under either scenario. I'm not sure how reasonable that assumption is. I'm pretty sure there is data indicating that age is a better predictor of a player's peak than years in the league (can't remember where I read this).