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Online Virtual Coach Simulation

Ph, you should read up on the scouting randomness thread in the test forum. I think you're being way too conservative-- he never explicitly said what the numbers were, but his comments gave the impression that they can fluctuate way more than anything you're talking about here.
 
RedSoxFaithful said:
Ph, you should read up on the scouting randomness thread in the test forum. I think you're being way too conservative-- he never explicitly said what the numbers were, but his comments gave the impression that they can fluctuate way more than anything you're talking about here.
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I gave those numbers 2-5 as examples. My analysis definitely suggests the actual numbers are bigger. For example, the Poor standard deviation suggests a Poor Scouted Fair rated player basically has a normally distributed odds to have any rating.
 
With the long weekend and Irma breathing down our necks, totally forgot to check last night. Wish I hadn't...

Cleveland L1C4 87
Amarillo Nightmare 71

Statistically the biggest difference in the game was getting out rebounded by 13 and shooting 29 for 66 (43%) while allowing them to shoot 55% 37 for 67. Height and Defense are the Achilles heel of this team and likely will be for several seasons.
 
St. Martinville Spoonbills 81
Santa Ana Thrill 55

Shocked at the margin of victory over what had been a much more highly ranked team. Getting out of the zone after game 3 was a step in the right direction, as was shooting threes much more judiciously (4-6 last night). Sitting at 4-3 (3-0) right now, but have two tough games in the South Division coming up- #13 Atlanta and a top 100 Hialeah team. My North Division has no one else in the top 220, so these games are my last opportunity to get decent scalps before the conference tournament.

Also trimmed my recruiting list, gave up on in-conference stud Logan Jones (#4 heavily recruited in the nation). I was shocked he was so high (great player, but I am recruiting a few with better ratings who aren't close to that high), but with Poor+ local everyone and their mother feels they have a shot at him. Being in conference, I concede I don't.
 
Cincinnati roots showed in our last game, another 23 fouls and 26 Free Throws given leads to our worst loss this year, 12 points. I'm taking a lot of pride in my team, we are literally terrible (recruiting rankings wise) - but we hang around in games. My guess is that Kmoney made it so there are fewer blowouts and its all just to make us little people feel better, but I will take it.
 
San Antonio Horror 68
Amarillo Nightmare 65

Warak bested me in our first meeting of league 31. While we only had 8 TOs to the Horror's 15, our shooting killed us yet again. This time 37.8% from the field. Congrats bud. Looking like only 1 team will make the NTT out of C24.
 
Flagstaff WhipperSnappers 112
Carlsbad Fighting Eagles 115 (3OT)

Don't really even know where to start. Quick browse of the PbP looks like an incredible game. Tied 45 all at the half. My guys hit a lay up with 7 seconds left to tie it in regulation. They hit a 3 at the buzzer to send it to a 2nd OT. They hit another buzzer beater to send it to a third OT, and finally put me away with two FT's with 3 seconds left to get the win. Lot of great performances in this game with really the only exception being FT's. We went 19-43 from the line this game :sick:

For the season my squads shooting stats are 52.5/48.5/55.2 Not really sure how that's even possible but oh well. Before this game I was 6-1 and ranked in the top 20 but have dropped to somewhere in the 30's. Hope the guys bounce back, can't let this one beat us twice.....

Great game from my Soph C Alexander Farmer. He went for 13/22 (11 offensive :eek:)/5assist /2 defensive stats/1TO.
Diego Waiters had 36, Devin Moon had 29 and 11 boards, PG Tanner Harris had 14 assists, etc. I'm guessing this has to have been the game of the year on the fake KenPom analysis but it stings to lose this one.

We have the most talented team we will play in the regular season up next in Pasadena, so I could be staring at quite the drop in the rankings.....
 
Stormfury said:
San Antonio Horror 68
Amarillo Nightmare 65

Warak bested me in our first meeting of league 31. While we only had 8 TOs to the Horror's 15, our shooting killed us yet again. This time 37.8% from the field. Congrats bud. Looking like only 1 team will make the NTT out of C24.
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Texas Terror Game - Level 1

San Antonio Horror 68
Amarillo Nightmare 65

I am sure this is not what many expected as we came in with the worst record in the Conference against the best record in the Conference, but that is why they play the game! It took a surprised career game from SO SG Domenico Counts with 20pts, who was shooting 38% entering the game. our start SR PF Andrew Cannon chipped in with 10pts. my team just can't shoot...it is bad.

This surprise win brings us to 3-5 (3-1) and a tie for the Conference lead with a team we already beat. all five loses were under 10pts, including 4 of them at five points or less. I hope this is the turning point and we can start winning more of these close games.

Good luck Storm, it will be a fight for that lone NTT spot...maybe i should not make it as i will lose every game!


big night for recruiting, i am eagerly awaiting the results...

Colby Melanson (72) - know of at least one other team. - 6'11" C
Spencer Carver (23) - know of at least two other teams - 6'9" PF/C
Raymond Rose (NL) - idk, never seen him mentioned anywhere...fingers crossed - 6'7" SF/PF
 
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After beating Ph at Myrtle Beach (the White Shadow in reverse?), Durham Deacon Blues have dropped two in row. Coach awaken has removed benches from locker room and banned players wearing school name apparel until they show they can represent the school appropriately. Also, his back is beginning to get sore....
 
Back to back double digit losses and Stillwater is sliding back towards where I was expecting to end up this season. With our season basically washed out until the tournaments, tonight gets even bigger. For posterity, some guesses on maxes - mine: Oliver (6) 12 teams, Biles (73) 4 , Garey (UR) 3 . Not mine: Pribble (1) 25 , Flores (2) 18 , Boucher (39 - Stillwater dropped) 6.
 
My only loss was to awaken. I have no idea how to coach this team.

Here are my maxes:

Cody McEachern (59)
Reece Whitney
Steven Blount

I've got a very broad net with some promising players.

Here is a list of every player who has shown up on the Most Recruited List with # of appearances and a recruiting score (sum of their rankings in which 1 = 75 pts, 2 = 74 pts, etc):

NameConfHometownHt#Total Score
Nikolas Pribble4New Haven6'098600
Juan Flores28Silver City6'098592
Logan Jones9Jacksonville6'108579
Ronald Click27Inglewood7'038578
Tanner Strong30Anaheim7'018571
Connor Smith31Eugene6'018547
Raymond Oliver13Gulf Shores6'068538
Anthony Chambers1Jersey City6'048536
Kenneth Smith25Laramie6'048529
Jaden Toler2Providence6'098527
William Bentley16St. Louis6'118527
Dylan Taylor14Cleveland6'078512
Will Hosey25Odessa6'008509
Mateo Boller1Jersey City7'008508
Deanthony Bryant2Manassas6'098499
Isaiah Lane26Plainview6'078475
Andrew Williams27Bakersfield6'088474
Adrian Brewington18Independence6'048470
Roy Lee24Corpus Christi6'108457
Marcus Trahan29Tempe6'038450
Bryan Vawter32Albuquerque6'028431
Spencer Carver24San Antonio6'098425
Drake Dreyer2Cambridge6'038398
Christopher Piercy26Tulsa6'088396
Ernest Hinds3Wilkes-Barre6'098392
Dennis Butterfield13Evansville6'078392
Thomas Otero29San Francisco6'118381
Joseph Dehner32Flagstaff6'058379
Cade Robison4Cooperstown6'048359
James Humphry11Charlotte6'078359
Hayden Brown8Gainesville6'058354
Matthew Watson25Abilene6'108345
David Simmons22Billings6'108340
Darrien Janicki21Aurora6'078319
Alex Carter30Santa Ana6'038304
Dillon Boucher26Midland5'118301
Ashton Roberts12New Orleans6'118298
Mykal Cyrus6Camden6'098293
Hector Carlisle31Eugene6'098290
Jelani Sudduth2Harrisburg5'118288
Kevin Brooker21Boise6'098285
John Barkley23Beaumont6'118284
Reginald Johnson17Akron6'118266
Joshua Taylor4Philadelphia6'018264
Frank Riddle29Honolulu6'068246
Damon Silverstein7Tallahassee6'058244
Connor Favors30Burbank6'028244
Michael Thurston15Dearborn6'108243
Justin Chambers5Syracuse6'108202
Anthony Morales27San Diego6'108199
Jaden Blake13Ft. Myers6'078180
Kelton Ali19Louisville6'068176
Terrell Persico8Tampa6'078173
Christian Horst31Roswell6'017162
Austin Villanueva27Bakersfield6'028159
Julius Hemphill25El Paso6'077147
Milo Vickers23Wichita6'048141
Joshua Yadao22Twin Falls6'107136
Stephen Ellis15Jefferson City6'068118
Dylan Mock24Omaha6'066105
Canaan Williams19Terre Haute6'107104
Brandon Franklin18Grand Rapids6'095103
Cameron Coale9Ft. Lauderdale6'04584
Erick Burden8Tampa6'07574
Ian Townsend17Columbus6'04471
Joel Blystone9Huntsville5'10569
Andrew Hungerford14St. Cloud6'10463
Tucker Sanroman30Los Angeles6'03653
Cody McEachern23Houston6'02452
Jacob Lewis31Olympia6'03450
Colby Melanson24Omaha6'10449
Jonathan Norris25Casper6'07345
Fernando Englert30Seattle6'05444
John Lyons18Frankfort6'07643
Amir Bates14Cleveland6'01442
Thomas Ramirez22Bismarck6'07339
Aedan Biles31Eugene6'06539
Jacob Thomas5Dover6'07738
Travis Myers19Louisville6'08329
Logan Smith26Lincoln6'07327
Daniel Spencer17Detroit6'10326
Matthew Mooneyhan3Hartford6'07425
Andrew McNamara20Pueblo6'09322
Thomas Rodriquez21Keystone6'08421
Ryan Oliver12Indianapolis6'04417
Ramses Rogers31Salt Lake City6'08216
John Reyes1Washington6'06111
David Williams19Lexington6'0719
William Shope28Lake Tahoe6'0418
Liam Turner23Houston7'0127
Christopher Humphrey2Cambridge6'0415
Andres Holly13Shreveport6'0325
Lane Carr3Wilkes-Barre6'1014
Zachery McLeod22Pierre6'0814
Jack Hemphill22Sioux Falls6'0223
Samuel Duran2Richmond6'0612
Jacob Nelson10Jackson6'0611
 
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Durham's recruits
Darrien Janicki (34)
David Simmons (27)
Julius Hemphill (44)

I was on Tanner Strong, but dropped off after a week when he was top 5 most recruited.
 
awaken said:
Durham's recruits
Darrien Janicki (34)
David Simmons (27)
Julius Hemphill (44)

I was on Tanner Strong, but dropped off after a week when he was top 5 most recruited.
Click to expand...

Thoughts and prayers
 
Amarillo's Recruits
Juan Flores (2)
Frank Riddle (52)
Hugh Maly

I dropped off Connor Smith (9) after week 1 as I didn't want to chase two top 10 players and felt he would be easier to find in the net than Flores. I'm relieved that none of my net bumps this week are on PH's list. Fingers crossed Maly is a CL and I can land another 1 or 2 in the net. Otherwise, I'm going to really struggle next season.
 
awaken said:
Durham's recruits
Darrien Janicki (34) 4/4
David Simmons (27) 4/4
Julius Hemphill (44) 2/2

I was on Tanner Strong, but dropped off after a week when he was top 5 most recruited.
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Not quite as bad as feared, but not good. Got a 0/4 in my net, and in the mix with some others. Will fall off Janicki to pursue those in net.

Oh, and Durham beat Clemson to break the streak. Turns out coach awaken had his PG and SF switched. Put them in their proper positions, and the PG had 11 assists and the SF had 23 pts. Don't let rebounding dictate positioning.
 
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Awe fuck...gotta get back on the recruiting trail.
 
awaken said:
Not quite as bad as feared, but not good. Got a 0/4 in my net, and in the mix with some others. Will fall off Janicki to pursue those in net.

Oh, and Durham beat Clemson to break the streak. Turns out coach awaken had his PG and SF switched. Put them in their proper positions, and the PG had 11 assists and the SF had 23 pts. Don't let rebounding dictate positioning.
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Keep in mind it's equally distributed by position.

Pretty happy about my first reveal back.

Cody McEachern (59) 2/2
Reece Whitney 1/1
Steven Blount 1/1

Very happy about 6-6, 228, SF Steven Blount. He's a Fair scouted FEEF_E. He projects pretty close to that in my formula at +8.0 (None- = -3.5 to Exc+ = 3.5) and the #20 player the last time I ran the numbers. My competition is a 1-8 team in his area. Blount is Fair Local and Good win, so I like my chances.

I'll have to go back and run the numbers to see where I stand on Whitney. His numbers have fallen off and he projects as a backup PF. I need the size though. My competition is an area 6-3 team. He's None Local and Good win. I like my chances here too.

McEachern is a big-time 6-2 scoring PG from Houston (Ts and Ps). He's averaging 34.5 ppg, 2.1 stl, but only 1.1 ast and 2.8 to. He'll be a fine bSG greenlight microwave. My competition is an area team and one just outside the area (3-6). McEachern is None Local, Fair- Win, Good- Impact. I like my chances.

I have several unmaxed players in my net, but most have 32 to 49 points on them so someone did max them at some point. Not sure if I'm going to move on those. There are 3 where I'm in reach.


Let me know how many teams maxed the players on my list above. I'm going to use it to try to project the Most Recruited list like I used to do.
 
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Ouch. Humble pie for me....

Norman Sooners smash us 100 to 70. Ugh, but recruiting looks more promising...

Juan Flores (2) 11/11
Frank Riddle (51) 1/1
Hugh Maly CL
Connor Smith (7) (whom I dropped) 10/11

My net also was somewhat generous with
Matthew Cox 0/7
Logan Gwynn 1/4
Howard Merritt 2/5


I will be maxing 5 of the 6 players throughout. Just have to decide which combination and if I want to roll the dice on 11/11 Flores. Having a Max 1/1, Max CL and a Likely CL Netter makes it tempting to roll the dice on him.
 
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