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Willing to take on a few Hoops Bets @ 17.5

RJKarl said:
Looking at the remain schedule:

Solid Wins: BC, GT
Toss-ups: Clemson, FSU, Miami
Likely Losses: State, MD
Lock Losses: Cuse, Duke twice, Carolina

It looks like it could come down to the last game at Miami.
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No way Carolina is a lock loss. I am not saying we will win but you can't call that a lock loss or even a likely loss IMO. That should be in the toss up category.
 
This bet, and possibly [Redacted]'s job, will come down to what he can do against evenly matched teams on the road. Wake has been a team all season that plays about how you would expect them to play.

7 Double Digit Wins: 190, 250, 347, 344, 122(N), 268, 63.
7 Single Digit Wins: 302, 67, 320, 42, 92, @178, 72.
2 Single Digit Losses: 10 (N), @41.
4 Double Digit Losses: 23 (N), @30, @12, @3.

It's been a weird season. We haven't lost at home but the only team of note we have played so far is #42 UNC. All 6 of our losses have come away from the Joel to teams in the top 50. Our only wins away from the Joel have come against teams outside the top 100.

We have three games left on the road against teams ranked between 50-100: @Maryland, @State, @Miami

We also have three game left at home against teams ranked in the top 25: Syracuse, Duke, FSU.

To get to 18 wins Wake will likely need to win 2 of those 6 games.
 
SkinsNDeacs said:
No way Carolina is a lock loss. I am not saying we will win but you can't call that a lock loss or even a likely loss IMO. That should be in the toss up category.
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[Redacted]'s best win away from Joel Coliseum is against #119 Mercer, last year. UNC is currently #42nd.

I would agree it's not a lock, especially because Roy's teams that struggle are prone to throwing in the towel down the stretch. However, it is certainly a likely loss at this point.
 
I wouldn't be surprised if we win any home game. Cuse plays Duke right after us. Classic trap game for them and could end up like Miami last year.
 
TheIshThatSaved WakeForest said:
I wouldn't be surprised if we win any home game. Cuse plays Duke right after us. Classic trap game for them and could end up like Miami last year.
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They have an undefeated record to protect. I think they'll be focused for every game down the stretch.
 
TheIshThatSaved WakeForest said:
Not so sure about that. Miami had a fantastic year last year and that was a really good team.

Also Larranaga is one helluva coach. He is getting a lot from that awful team this year after a tough start.
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Miami last year was a flash in the pan. Their Kenpom ratings over the last 5 years have been: 53, 61, 50, 14, 83

Syracuse on the other hand: 4, 15, 5, 10, 3.

Teams that win year after year are generally much better prepared to handle mediocre teams on the road than teams who are playing their first season at an elite level.
 
I wouldn't lump Haith in with JL.

But obviously you are right about Cuse, not saying the programs are similar. I do think Miami last year was better than Cuse this year though.

We'll prob hang around and lose by 8-10 on Wed but a win would not shock me.
 
RJKarl said:
Looking at the remain schedule:

Solid Wins: BC, GT
Toss-ups: Clemson, FSU, Miami
Likely Losses: State, MD
Lock Losses: Cuse, Duke twice, Carolina

It looks like it could come down to the last game at Miami.
Click to expand...

My take...

Solid Wins: BC, GT
Toss-ups: Miami, Carolina, State
Likely Losses: MD, Clemson, FSU
Lock Losses: Cuse, Duke twice
 
I think we beat GT and BC at home as well as one of FSU or Clemson. Wake could easily wind up with three or even four home losses and play pretty well in those four games. FSU, Duke, and Syracuse are all top 25 KP teams. Although FSU admittedly didn't look too stellar on the road today, but that's in a place we haven't won since 1997 so it's hard for us to comment one way or the other.
 
I'm guessing we will beat Cuse or Duke and then get Tech, BC, and Clemson/FSU (drop one of them). That's 18 right there even without a road win.

8-1 at home in-conference and then a win against State/Maryland/Miami would give us 19 wins and 10-8 in the conference.
 
Deacsfan27 said:
I'm guessing we will beat Cuse or Duke and then get Tech, BC, and Clemson/FSU (drop one of them). That's 18 right there even without a road win.

8-1 at home in-conference and then a win against State/Maryland/Miami would give us 19 wins and 10-8 in the conference.
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You think we're gonna beat Cuse or Duke? Doubtful.
 
SkinsNDeacs said:
No way Carolina is a lock loss. I am not saying we will win but you can't call that a lock loss or even a likely loss IMO. That should be in the toss up category.
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Huh? We've won twice on the road in 4 years. Beating two truly awful teams in BC and VaTech. And all of a sudden you aren't convinced we lose to the Heels on the road? I'd say 90/10 we lose. Not sure what KP would predict.
 
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