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Month Out: Presidential Election Predictions

I feel decent about this.

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There's a good chance of McMuffin taking Utah if Trump does anything else boneheaded.
 
Went back and forth on Utah, Iowa, and Nebraska's second.

I feel strongly about Arizona going blue while Texas, Georgia, and Alaska stay red.
 
bym051d said:
I feel decent about this.

eX71g.png


There's a good chance of McMuffin taking Utah if Trump does anything else boneheaded.
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Looks about right, except yeah, I think McMullin takes UT and Trump takes GA. Agree OH and IA stay red. I get OH. I don't get IA as easily because it's mostly been bluish purple in recent years. It's not rust belt. Is IA just too white to go Dem this time with Trump and Clinton as the candidates?
 
Wakeforest22890 said:
Went back and forth on Utah, Iowa, and Nebraska's second.

I feel strongly about Arizona going blue while Texas, Georgia, and Alaska stay red.
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Have the same map (358). Toughest picks for me were ME rural district, IA, AZ, GA, and UT. Trump wins TX, AK, and GA. Utah iffy.
 
My map above, I believe, is very close to Obama's 2008 win with Arizona and Indiana flipped and Obama taking the NE-2
 
Are there any rules for threshold to receive EC votes? Or can McMullin win Utah with 28-32% of the vote?
 
CantStandYa said:
Are there any rules for threshold to receive EC votes? Or can McMullin win Utah with 28-32% of the vote?
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No. Lincoln won the whole thing with like 40-42%. And had Trump not imploded the last few weeks, there was a path for McMullin to win the presidency by winning just UT by Clinton and Trump each getting 267-269. Provided of course the House then chose him over Trump. I believe we've only had 1 occasion previously where the candidate with the most EVs didn't win, and that was in 1824 when Jackson had the most EVs, but then Clay, who finished 3rd, threw his support to JQ Adams, who had finished 2nd - the famous "corrupt bargain". Or at least that's what Jackson called it. And JQA made Clay his SOS.
 
Wakeforest22890 said:
I feel strongly about Arizona going blue while Texas, Georgia, and Alaska stay red.
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Jeff Flake was matter of fact dismissive of Trump's chances in AZ. Said Trump has a very real possibility of losing AZ. Irrespective of Trump's outcome in AZ or nationally, Flake has guaranteed himself a 2018 primary challenger.
 
This Al Smith dinner is awkward and stupid.
 
ONW said:
This Al Smith dinner is awkward and stupid.
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I just posted this on the other thread. He's getting booed off the stage. Al Smith's great grandson is doing everything but pulling off the dais with a vaudevillian hook. This is really sad and pathetic.

This will be the #1 political story for tomorrow.
 
With the election trending toward Clinton bigly, how big is the chance that the "hold your nose and vote for Hillary" crowd doesn't think they need to show up and the election is a lot closer than predicted?
 
Distinct possibility, though I'm hoping the down ballot races still draw people out.
 
I'm personally going to relish the opportunity to vote against that misogynistic blowhard.
 
Clinton 325-213 Trump*

*I hate both candidates and have no idea who's projected to win what states, just wanted to make a colorful map.
 
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