Donald J. Trump
Member
- Joined
- Feb 2, 2017
- Messages
- 13
- Reaction score
- 7
Elizabeth Warren is crude, rude, obnoxious and dumb - other than that I like her very much!
"She was warned. She was given an explanation. Nevertheless she persisted."
Like I was about the election, huh?
That claim rings rather hollow, considering what both of us said leading up to last November. As RJ likes to say, though, don't let the facts get in the way of your statements.
Talking about predictions before the Comey October surprise is meaningless anyway. I still thought Clinton would win, but I felt much more nervous about it on election night.
Great and the poll movements don't support that assertion unless you believe Trump could have won the Electoral College while losing the popular vote by 7 or 8 million.
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No actually the la times was the worst national poll. The others were right on with Clinton's 2% PV win. La times had Trump +3% or 4%Every poll was fucked except the LA TIMES
You realize that national polls predict popular vote and not electoral vote?
You realize that national polls predict popular vote and not electoral vote?
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literally two people who GAF right now
We don't have to speculate on the final popular vote because it is in. Clinton 48.0% Trump 45.9%.yes
The tracking poll was not perfect, of course; it projected Trump to win in the popular vote by slightly more than 3 percentage points, but in reality Hillary Clinton seems set to gain a slender popular vote majority, currently about 0.2%. Her margin could expand as late ballots are counted in heavily Democratic California.
That result, however, was well within the poll’s margin of error. The more crucial point was that the poll correctly detected Trump’s appeal to a key bloc of voters: conservative whites who had sat out the 2012 election but intended to vote this year. That group strongly favored Trump, the poll found.
The poll’s ability to pick up those voters, Kapteyn said, stemmed from its approach, which differs notably from the one used by most major surveys.