WakeForestRanger
Well-known member
- Joined
- Mar 17, 2011
- Messages
- 22,959
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No conspiracy. Seth Rich was liquidated
It will be proven that the job was from inside.
It is you who live a cloud of unknowing and a belligerent naïveté- others are not going to wait 40 years till the truth be told.
That video is a good example of A. Rubes B. Olds C. Inability to understand the technology you use D. The Reason why Facebook should be destroyed.
The winner is all of the above.
I see there’s a lull in picking up other real men’s trash, nice to stop by to spread Seth rich conspiracy theories
How would you have analyzed the polling data differently? What are you criticisms of Silver's modeling approach? Personally, I wish Silver had put confidence intervals on the model projections to better communicate model uncertainty. But, the reality is, of all the predictive models out there, his was the closest to what actually happened. He predicted that Hillary would win the vote share by 3.6% and she actually won the vote share by by 2.1%. The biggest error was that he under estimated the third party vote by about ~1% nationally and in a few key states it was especially problematic. For example, in Wisconsin Silver predicted that Clinton would win and that 3rd parties would 4.9% but they actually 6.3% or Florida where Silver predicted Clinton would win and 3rd parties would get 3.2% but ended up with 4.0%.
1) People have poor understanding of statistics
2) Nate Silver compiles polling data, he does not conduct his own polls
3) The continued conflation of "you said Hillary would win [the popular vote]" with "Donald won the election suck it pollsters" is so dumb
4) Moonz is either an elite troll or has joined the idiots who don't understand the first three points here