ABCDeac
Well-known member
- Joined
- Mar 22, 2011
- Messages
- 1,498
- Reaction score
- 306
Bloomberg is way better than Biden long term. Just smarter, more focused, fresher, better able to take a fight to Trump on pretty much any level. He is 77 and Biden is 76, but I tend to doubt that their intellects, relative health conditions, and the like would play out as if Bloomberg is older than Biden. That being said, I was surprised and disappointed by watching Mueller testify - he is 75 - simply because the buildup was that he was terribly smart, focused, competent, etc. There is little doubt in my mind that he is feeling every bit his age. And Bloomberg could be exposed the same way, but I would be very surprised to see him willfully enter the race just to be embarrassed on that level. Mueller really wanted to avoid testifying for a reason, and I think a large part of that is because people around him knew he wouldn't hold up well.
Warren and Bernie will have one helluva time winning electoral college, and even a harder time implementing any of their big ideas should they actually win. The odds of a 3rd party candidacy from Bloomberg or other billionaires is very high should either get nominated. I support a modest "wealth-tax" on the ultra-wealthy, but there is little denying it is a slippery slope and that billionaires aren't in the business of giving away their billions to the government. Even Bill Gates won't commit to voting for Warren ahead of Trump, and he pretty much loathes Trump. That may not be right, but it is a fact, and any Warren/Bernie supporter needs to recognize it.
Pete is a 37 year old mayor of a college town with no other political experience who happens to also be gay. There is no real reason to believe that he is experienced enough to justify being POTUS. He seems well-liked, smart, relatively-centrist, and probably would make an excellent POTUS (particularly relative to the competition). That being said, the anti-sentiment/anti-marketing to rubes writes itself based on just stating the plain and simple facts in the first sentence of this paragraph. He is a very risky play against Trump.
Most likely to win if nominated in my opinion:
Bloomberg (unlikely to win nomination)
Biden (feels like he is fading fast and no real reason to believe that an energetic turnaround is coming)
Trump
Pete
Warren
Bernie
Others
Warren and Bernie will have one helluva time winning electoral college, and even a harder time implementing any of their big ideas should they actually win. The odds of a 3rd party candidacy from Bloomberg or other billionaires is very high should either get nominated. I support a modest "wealth-tax" on the ultra-wealthy, but there is little denying it is a slippery slope and that billionaires aren't in the business of giving away their billions to the government. Even Bill Gates won't commit to voting for Warren ahead of Trump, and he pretty much loathes Trump. That may not be right, but it is a fact, and any Warren/Bernie supporter needs to recognize it.
Pete is a 37 year old mayor of a college town with no other political experience who happens to also be gay. There is no real reason to believe that he is experienced enough to justify being POTUS. He seems well-liked, smart, relatively-centrist, and probably would make an excellent POTUS (particularly relative to the competition). That being said, the anti-sentiment/anti-marketing to rubes writes itself based on just stating the plain and simple facts in the first sentence of this paragraph. He is a very risky play against Trump.
Most likely to win if nominated in my opinion:
Bloomberg (unlikely to win nomination)
Biden (feels like he is fading fast and no real reason to believe that an energetic turnaround is coming)
Trump
Pete
Warren
Bernie
Others