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Avengers Endfinity Wargame Mafia; MAFIA WINS

@eagles and anyone with a brain : thoughts on this townie post that was re: redwings OT killshot on jman.

Jman and townie were civs that lived late into the game last week

Time to start reading, but JMan was not a civ last week. He was mafia. Townie was a civ.
 
If we rank vote options of 1-20, Redwing should likely be in the middle of the pack, not really a great option for today. I would buy Toogs, DV7, WFU03, Bernie and probably Ryalaman for this round.

tcc is in my top 3 along with toogs and wfu03
 
I am sucking over here, but if you must lynch me, I am a safe lynch...

Will give my thoughts before I am gone...but then again, the way i have been playing, do the Costanza and do the opposite of what I suggest

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This post is bizarre
 
Couldn’t have suicided because Thanos has 2 stones, IIRC.

But yeah, once he filled his role, he could’ve just come out.

Agree with this. If he investigated Thanos successfully night 1, he would have suicided in. If night 2 (post stone), he would have just told everyone on day 3 who Thanos is. Therefore, he didn't find Thanos.
 
Really excited about the continuing discussion on damo.

Another guess, he found thanos last night, suicided, but forgot he had stones and damo died.

Not possible. Read the role.
 
Nah fuck that, it's the only thing it can be.

"The mafia team will receive a group of safe roleclaims."

The chances Townie quick pulled a safe claim that mafia dv7 had already breadcrumbed for >>>>>>>>>>>>> Townie making up a safe claim not on the list that dv7 also happens to be playing as a vanilla civ.

This. Groot claim is meaningless.
 
If Eagles is Mafia, wouldn’t jailing him prevent a cop check?

If Eagles is Mafia, this is reason #1 to jail him and reason #2 is to entice a watch.

Sorry to distract from the DV7 / Toogs discussion. I’m multitasking.
 
Can we restart the damo speculation?

I think that he found Thanas, but then decided he didnt care about playing the game any more and then just killed himself overnight.

I mean, it sounds like something Damo would do.
 
Ok...with 20 minutes left:

Townie (6) - rommy, Da, Juice, Eagles, gouda, dv7
redwing (4) - GAT, bern, toogs, Townie
WFU03 (3) - SD3, GoalieMom, mako
Juice (2) - numbers, WFU03
GoalieMom (1) - shiny
GAT (1) - damo
gouda (1) - bym
dv7 (1) - Ph

YTV: ryala, redwing, tim, tcc


I vote redwing

Then Wakeforect22890 makes this post which looks bad now

Leaving townie alone for a second, what are your thoughts on shiny and juice eaglez? Do you have a mafia lean on one more than the other or none on either?

Redwing then votes WF03
Timdunk then votes Townie

7 min left
Townie (7) - rommy, Da, Juice, Eagles, gouda, dv7, tim
redwing (5) - GAT, bern, toogs, Townie, tcc
WFU03 (4) - SD3, GoalieMom, mako, redwing
Juice (2) - numbers, WFU03
GoalieMom (1) - shiny
GAT (1) - damo
gouda (1) - bym
dv7 (1) - Ph

YTV: ryala


GAT switches to Gouda
GAT switches to 03 saying too late to run Gouda
Towniedeac votes gouda
DV7 votes 03
Da votes ryala to get one in
I switch to 03
Toogs says this This is a very strange end of round. Kill redwing please it's obvious what he is doing.
Towndeac switches to 03
GAT switches to townie
Wakeforest22890 switches to Townie
DV7 switches to Townie
Towniedeac switch to PH
DV7 switches to 03


After looking at this, ***towndeac*** is my vote...tried to do a quick follow on Gouda, and then switched again to 03...

And that post by Wakeforest22890 just reeks to me, but do not know his posting style well enough


Ignoring the attempt to lynch the guy who died, there is some analysis here.

With 20 minutes to go, it was 6 (Townie) to 4 (Redwing) and I had 3 votes.

We know Townie was mafia, so if you're mafia at this point, what is the play? Sacrifice Townie or attempt to swing the vote in your favor with the 20 minutes you have left? With that much time, I'd say it's highly likely that you try to change the numbers.

So let's look at who votes to move people:
tcc moves redwing up to make it 6T, 5R, 3W.

At this point, I am the least likely person to get lynched. The next vote is redwing, who votes for me, not Townie, making it 6T, 5R, 4W.

Timdunk then pushes Townie ahead further to make it 7T, 5R, 4W. At this point with 7 minutes left, the mafia need to figure out how to save Townie or make themselves look good if he dies. However, if Redwing is also mafia, this goal is much harder.


Then we have this bunch of switches/posts:
GAT switches to Gouda
GAT switches to 03 saying too late to run Gouda
Towniedeac votes gouda
DV7 votes 03
Da votes ryala to get one in
I switch to 03
Toogs says this This is a very strange end of round. Kill redwing please it's obvious what he is doing.
Towndeac switches to 03
GAT switches to townie
Wakeforest22890 switches to Townie
DV7 switches to Townie
Towniedeac switch to PH
DV7 switches to 03

Of the people switching to me (GAT, DV7, TCC), there's likely some mafia there if Redwing comes back mafia. If Redwing isn't mafia, it's still very odd to go with me instead of him considering the vote difference.
 
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