I resent articles that view the struggle of working parents this year as an emotional concern. We are not burned out because life is hard this year. We are burned out because we are being rolled over by the wheels of an economy that has bafflingly declared working parents inessential.
Yet the number of national total deaths has nonetheless plummeted week over week even accounting for that lag time. I can't figure out how to snapshot and post a dynamic table, but both the table and underlying data are here, updated as of July 1 for the week ending 6/27:
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
Cue incoming Rafi Bomb to claim that death certificate data is not accurate, despite now having over three months of it to incorporate lag time.
But we've moved the goalposts to where now everyone is freaking the fuck out about cases, when the number of deaths has fallen off significantly despite the rise in cases. Clearly that is attributable to better treatment methods, a lower mortality rate of the virus, and better isolation of the most vulnerable. But that isn't the #science and #experts that the death to the rubes circle jerk wants to hear.
That gif in the next post is pretty good.
You're projecting - no moving goal posts for me. COVID deaths are missed (see the article in JAMA yesterday showing about 20% more deaths that should be attributed to COVID), but I don't see a reason that number should change over time. In fact, I think the mis-attributed deaths should be lower now because we have better testing. The falling death rate is really, really good news. I think the lower death rate is because hospitals are not overwhelmed, treatment is better, and more young people are being infected. I do think we'll see an uptick in deaths over the next 3 weeks because hospitalizations are up in many states.
I think what is important is that not only is the death rate falling (which can be Trumped away by the "we're just testing more"), but the actual pure number of deaths is falling despite the rising number of cases. So it is not just the increased cases compared against a static or slower-increasing number of deaths driving the rate, but the number of actual deaths is decreasing despite everything else increasing, which is what is helping to lower the death rate.
I think what is important is that not only is the death rate falling (which can be Trumped away by the "we're just testing more"), but the actual pure number of deaths is falling despite the rising number of cases. So it is not just the increased cases compared against a static or slower-increasing number of deaths driving the rate, but the number of actual deaths is decreasing despite everything else increasing, which is what is helping to lower the death rate.
Yet the number of national total deaths has nonetheless plummeted week over week even accounting for that lag time. I can't figure out how to snapshot and post a dynamic table, but both the table and underlying data are here, updated as of July 1 for the week ending 6/27:
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
Cue incoming Rafi Bomb to claim that death certificate data is not accurate, despite now having over three months of it to incorporate lag time.
But we've moved the goalposts to where now everyone is freaking the fuck out about cases, when the number of deaths has fallen off significantly despite the rise in cases. Clearly that is attributable to better treatment methods, a lower mortality rate of the virus, and better isolation of the most vulnerable. But that isn't the #science and #experts that the death to the rubes circle jerk wants to hear.
What is the point of 2&2 constantly football spiking based on half truths? Every week it’s gloating on some sort of misread data point out of context. Maybe a rube can’t get the nuance between timing of positive tests vs hospitalization capacity vs deaths but I’d expect 2&2 as a non 8xdeac can either figure it out or at least appreciate that it’s a complex situation. Or maybe not. There were some real airheads in my class at wake too.
well there was a link I read the other day that said coronavirus deaths have likely been undercounted by 95 fucking thousand deaths.
Well since you read a link it must be true! Fuck the actual data from the CDC, your link is the conclusive authority on the matter. This, ladies and gentlemen, is #science.
You do you. The Karens on nextdoor must love how you cut through the bullshit to make sure we reopen freedom ASAP
Don't run like a bitch. Tell me how the CDC info that I linked is wrong or being misinterpreted.
I haven't checked out the CDC data, but deaths will lag behind hospitalizations, which will lag behind positive cases. Positive cases and hospitalizations are both going up right now, which means deaths will likely rise in another week or two. Death rate could be down now because several weeks ago things had not started reopening to the degree they are now.