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Consolidated Bracketology Thread 3/12/23 updates

WFcatamount22 said:
I honestly don’t think a wake coach has ever done less with the talent we had on the floor this year.
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This is not a fair comment. Alondes was mediocre a Oklahoma. Jake had accolades but in a much weaker conference. Forbes gave Alondes the freedom to be POY. At the beginning of the year, Wake was predicted 13th in the league. Forbes worked a miracle this year.

It sucks that we shit the bed to BC but Forbes has done a tremendous job.
 
Davidson has woke up. The NIT may be littered with A10 teams.
 
 
People really seem to have caught on to ND's flimsy resume, a lot of people with them out now, Seth Davis included
 
wsc8521s said:
People really seem to have caught on to ND's flimsy resume, a lot of people with them out now, Seth Davis included
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So a 4 bid league like people have been saying for the last 3 months.
 
daaberry said:
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Of course they have OK and SMU in when most have them out.

While the ACC is weak this year, it's interesting that UNC goes from possibly out to a 9 seed by winning in Cameron, yet VT wins 4 in a row, beating UNC and dook on consecutive days and are a 10 seed. Not to mention that VT is ahead of UNC in NET and KP by 5-6 spots, which supposedly is used to help with seeding.

And I believe we got zero 'lift' by VT winning the ACCT in the metrics.
 
watching Richmond - Davidson

FFS, schedule both of these teams next year. If we can't beat them we don't deserve a bid. If we beat them both, one on the road, one at home, that is a Quad 1 win and a Quad 2 win.
 
daaberry said:
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Sorry, what?
 
The first four out get the 1 seeds in the NIT, that's what he means
 
NIT one line = first four out in the NCAA Tournament.
That is, the top four seeds ("one line") of the NIT are decided by the NCAA Tournament committee. They are the four highest rated teams not selected to the field of 68.
 
wsc8521s said:
The first four out get the 1 seeds in the NIT, that's what he means
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Got it. I was confused by the statement about us getting in and proving people wrong when I didn't see us in.
 
PhDeac said:
So a 4 bid league like people have been saying for the last 3 months.
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Shit the ticket is you had to beat Duke. Miami is 62 in Kenpom. You take the Duke win away, they’d have no chance themselves.
 
daaberry said:
Shit the ticket is you had to beat Duke. Miami is 62 in Kenpom. You take the Duke win away, they’d have no chance themselves.
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It’s a shame Alondes started that game with 4 fouls and they goaltended to win it.
 
DeacDaddy said:
Haros, where will you have Wake in your final projection?
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Probably out. I’ve been trying to will their bid into existence on the ones that don’t count, but I’m not optimistic.

That said, if Davidson wins here — I have no idea what I’m doing with my last bid. I’m putting Notre Dame, Rutgers, and A&M in Dayton with one more.

It’s Wake, SMU, Wyoming, Xavier, and Oklahoma. 5 very different resumes. Wake isn’t the best of the 5 by whatever your use to look at it. If quality metrics like Kenpom, Oklahoma has the nod. Everyone but probably Wyoming has better wins. Wyoming even does if you give them Utah St and Fresno St as real Q1 wins. So whichever way I go, that one is probably wrong.

I’d guess that’s true for most of the brackets, slightly more wrong than normal this year. Some years it is just more clear cut and half the brackets have 67 right.
 
And some years the committee pulls a couple surprises and it's more like 65-66 right.

Let's hope this is one of those years and people are underrating the impact of the metrics
 
Memphis winning isn't an incremental problem, is it? They're already listed with a bid... Would a loss possibly knock them out?
 
wufu bufu said:
Memphis winning isn't an incremental problem, is it? They're already listed with a bid... Would a loss possibly knock them out?
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No they are in. A #9 seed if they lose to Houston, maybe a 7 if they beat Houston. FWIW, Memphis can beat anyone in the country. Only Duke and KY have more future NBA players.
 
I going with vibes and think we shock and get in. My theory is the process is somewhat rigged and having the feel good story of COY and POY after the prior era is too good to pass up.
 
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