Pilchard
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The Deacs, now #76 in KP's ratings and #78 in Torvik, have to regroup tonight against the Towson Tigers in what is a "must win" game. Here is a very quick take on the Tigers:
2023-4 Towson (2-2 #136):
Towson results to date:
#18 Colorado L 75-57
#360 Coppin State W 70-49
#279 Robert Morris W 66-62
#2 Houston 65-49
The one analytic that sticks out for the Tigers is that they have played super-slow so far this season #358 in pace; #357 in length of offensive possession (21.1 seconds). Otherwise, Towson has been strong on the offensive boards (#44) and getting to the line on offense (#72). Defensively, Towson has been strong defending the 2 (#72), but has been hurt from deep (#307 in opponents 3 point FG%).
Roster:
Starting lineup in last night's loss to Houston:
6-0 Jr. Rahdir Hicks: doesn't score much (4 ppg) and has an alarming assist to TO ratio (4/5); 10 career starts
6-5 So. Christian May: leading scorer against Houston; 10 points; 3 for 19 from three on the season; 30% from the line; 94% last year; better shooter than he has played so far
6-6 Sr. Messiah Jones: Wofford transfer; leads team in O rating (122); 8 ppg; 4.5 rpg; 3 for 5 from three
6-7 Sr. Charles Thompson: 5th year player; two-time all CAA; known for his D; 10 ppg; 8 points; 9 boards; 2 assists against Houston
6-8 Fr. Taylor Tejada: leading three point shooter (7 for 12); 6 points and 6 boards against Houston
The Tigers also sought a waiver for transfer Nendah Tarke (Coppin State), as Tarke was expected to start, but to date he is not eligible.
The projection: KP projects a 70-65 WF in 64 possessions; Torvik 74-67 WF. The game opened at WF -5 141; and the sharps jumped on the under because of Towson's slow pace; the line is 4.5 and 137. Hard to play back to back with a 7 man rotation; agree with the action on the under as Towson plays slow, and given the Deacs lack of depth, WF doesn't have the roster to push the pace. Deacs should win, but expect a slow low-scoring slog.
2023-4 Towson (2-2 #136):
Towson results to date:
#18 Colorado L 75-57
#360 Coppin State W 70-49
#279 Robert Morris W 66-62
#2 Houston 65-49
The one analytic that sticks out for the Tigers is that they have played super-slow so far this season #358 in pace; #357 in length of offensive possession (21.1 seconds). Otherwise, Towson has been strong on the offensive boards (#44) and getting to the line on offense (#72). Defensively, Towson has been strong defending the 2 (#72), but has been hurt from deep (#307 in opponents 3 point FG%).
Roster:
Starting lineup in last night's loss to Houston:
6-0 Jr. Rahdir Hicks: doesn't score much (4 ppg) and has an alarming assist to TO ratio (4/5); 10 career starts
6-5 So. Christian May: leading scorer against Houston; 10 points; 3 for 19 from three on the season; 30% from the line; 94% last year; better shooter than he has played so far
6-6 Sr. Messiah Jones: Wofford transfer; leads team in O rating (122); 8 ppg; 4.5 rpg; 3 for 5 from three
6-7 Sr. Charles Thompson: 5th year player; two-time all CAA; known for his D; 10 ppg; 8 points; 9 boards; 2 assists against Houston
6-8 Fr. Taylor Tejada: leading three point shooter (7 for 12); 6 points and 6 boards against Houston
The Tigers also sought a waiver for transfer Nendah Tarke (Coppin State), as Tarke was expected to start, but to date he is not eligible.
The projection: KP projects a 70-65 WF in 64 possessions; Torvik 74-67 WF. The game opened at WF -5 141; and the sharps jumped on the under because of Towson's slow pace; the line is 4.5 and 137. Hard to play back to back with a 7 man rotation; agree with the action on the under as Towson plays slow, and given the Deacs lack of depth, WF doesn't have the roster to push the pace. Deacs should win, but expect a slow low-scoring slog.
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