• Welcome to OGBoards 10.0, keep in mind that we will be making LOTS of changes to smooth out the experience here and make it as close as possible functionally to the old software, but feel free to drop suggestions or requests in the Tech Support subforum!

'17 Specials & '18 Midterms Thread

Yeah. In 2010, Republicans had about 50% more primary votes than Democrats. Republicans doubled their primary vote in the general. Democrats tripled theirs. Scott won by about 60,000 votes. Democrat turnout will be important, but it looks like Democrats largely addressed it. Republicans only had 7% more primary voters this year.
 

Based on the ads created by CLF, Paul Ryan's Super PAC, these are the 20 incumbents (and two open R seats) they are spending to defend now:

CA-25 Knight
CA-39 Open
CA-45 Walters
CA-48 Rohrabacher
CO-6 Coffman
IA-3 Young
IL-6 Roskam
KS-2 Open
KS-3 Yoder
KY-6 Barr
ME-2 Poliquin
MN-2 Lewis
MN-3 Paulsen
NE-2 Bacon
NJ-3 MacArthur
NJ-7 Lance
NY-19 Faso
NY-22 Tenney
OH-1 Chabot
PA-1 Fitzpatrick

All rated toss up by Cook with the exception of Fitzpatrick and Bacon, whose seats are rated lean R.

Worth noting that the only two reps rated lean R they feel the need to defend at the moment are both in their first term. (Suggesting they think the rest can take care of themselves.)

There are also ads for two open Minnesota seats currently held by Dems, though the Minnesota ads are the same attack ad against Keith Ellison with the candidates name in "[candidate] still supports him" swapped out.
 
To be fair, they're going to save money by running the same ad with a dark unflattering picture of the Dem candidate and unflattering pictures of Schumer, Pelosi, and Hillary with some narration about raising taxes and "illegals."
 
To be fair, they're going to save money by running the same ad with a dark unflattering picture of the Dem candidate and unflattering pictures of Schumer, Pelosi, and Hillary with some narration about raising taxes and "illegals."
Yeah, the Republicans certainly save money in the creativity department by using the same copy and paste attack in every race. It makes sense because the Republican base is pretty generic nationwide: old, white, comfortable, racist, and scared of their shadow.
 
I’ve read several articles about it and it’s not really clear what the FBI is even investigating. Undercover agents buddied up to one of Gillum’s associates but it’s not clear why they went undercover in the first place.

I definitely haven’t seen FL Republicans articulate what Gillum did wrong. They’re hoping they can paint a vague FBI investigation as evidence of a corrupt Tallahassee city government run by a corrupt socialist mayor while saying a federal investigation into Trump is fake news.

Just remember that the FBI is a crooked, deep state, untrustworthy organization when The Church of Trump uses the investigation to dismiss a black democratic gubernatorial candidate as a criminal.
 
Just remember that the FBI is a crooked, deep state, untrustworthy organization when The Church of Trump uses the investigation to dismiss a black democratic gubernatorial candidate as a criminal.

This investigation of Gillum is founded in fact - not based on unverified and salacious rumors bought by an opposition campaign from Russian Insiders and then pawned off on Judges who were not told (lied)the origins of the charges. Nasty shit those Democrats.

Hahahaha :)
 
To be fair, they're going to save money by running the same ad with a dark unflattering picture of the Dem candidate and unflattering pictures of Schumer, Pelosi, and Hillary with some narration about raising taxes and "illegals."

...don’t forget that dirty word, “liberal”.

Such simpletons. Putty in the hands of Limbaugh, Hannity, and their corporate masters.
 
Also the use of “stuns” in the article above is a little strong. It was well known that this race was going to be a close one.

Regardless, congrats to Pressley on the victory.
 
Also the use of “stuns” in the article above is a little strong. It was well known that this race was going to be a close one.

Regardless, congrats to Pressley on the victory.

That’s the stun. It’s not close. Pressley is up 13 points.
 
She's up 18 points with 77% in. She may get to 60%.

People are making a big deal about incumbents losing in primaries, but it's worth noting Capauno was the only one to lose in MA.

MA1 - Incumbent got 70%
MA2 - Incumbent uncontested
MA3 - Incumbent retired (I think)
MA4 - Incumbent 93% (Joe Kennedy III)
MA5 - Incumbent uncontested
MA6 - Incumbent uncontested (Moulton)
MA7 - Incumbent defeated (Capauno)
MA8 - Incumbent 70%
MA9 - Incumbent 85%

So Pressley's win is clearly an outlier.

 
This investigation of Gillum is founded in fact - not based on unverified and salacious rumors bought by an opposition campaign from Russian Insiders and then pawned off on Judges who were not told (lied)the origins of the charges. Nasty shit those Democrats.

Hahahaha :)

That didn’t take long.
 
This investigation of Gillum is founded in fact - not based on unverified and salacious rumors bought by an opposition campaign from Russian Insiders and then pawned off on Judges who were not told (lied)the origins of the charges. Nasty shit those Democrats.

Hahahaha :)
...
e41265cd54a509a9f277eb31e70abbae.jpg
 
[h=1]Column: If Andrew Gillum is a socialist, so is Ron DeSantis[/h]
https://www.tampabay.com/opinion/co...m-is-a-socialist-so-is-Ron-DeSantis_171463753

Is Andrew Gillum a socialist?
The most often cited evidence of his socialist sins are his support for expanding taxpayer-subsidized health care coverage to everyone, or Medicare for all; raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour; and increasing the state corporate income tax from 5 percent to 7 percent — a 40 percent tax hike is the way it is breathlessly described by the DeSantis propagandists — to fund a $1 billion increase in funding for education.
The dictionary definition of socialism is a political and economic theory of social organization that advocates that the means of production, distribution, and exchange should be owned and regulated by the community as a whole. Let us concede, arguendo, that Medicare, the minimum wage and traditional public education are all socialist in intent, operation, and effect, as are Medicaid, workers’ compensation, unemployment insurance, and funding the delta between Social Security contributions and benefits to name but a few of the numerous "socialist" programs with which public policy in America is riddled.
To continue on the path on which we have set our feet, if supporting these socialist programs makes one a socialist, then Gillum is indeed a socialist, as is certainly almost every elected official in Florida, Democrats or Republicans. A phone booth could not be filled with politicians of any stripe who oppose Medicare, any minimum wage at all, and public schools.
But surely DeSantis is not a socialist. Yet, if he is not, then why is Gillum? It has to be because Gillum wants more, much more, of the things DeSantis also supports. Gillum wants more comprehensive health care coverage, a higher minimum wage and more money for schools. But that cannot be right either; disagreements about the appropriate scope of publicly subsidized health care coverage, what constitutes a living wage and how much is adequate education funding are the rule rather the exception, both between the two major political parties and within them.
Clearly, the differences between DeSantis and Gillum on these issues and other "socialist" programs are differences of degree, however great, not differences in kind. They are the clash of the world views of an aggressive heir of Great Society liberalism who sees a much larger role for government in promoting the welfare of the commonwealth and a right wing populist who feeds on the anger, envy and angst of those who want to make America 1956 again.
 
^

That whole piece is worth a read.

Written by an apparently frustrated Republican strategist.
 
Based on the ads created by CLF, Paul Ryan's Super PAC, these are the 20 incumbents (and two open R seats) they are spending to defend now:

CA-25 Knight
CA-39 Open
CA-45 Walters
CA-48 Rohrabacher
CO-6 Coffman
IA-3 Young
IL-6 Roskam
KS-2 Open
KS-3 Yoder
KY-6 Barr
ME-2 Poliquin
MN-2 Lewis
MN-3 Paulsen
NE-2 Bacon
NJ-3 MacArthur
NJ-7 Lance
NY-19 Faso
NY-22 Tenney
OH-1 Chabot
PA-1 Fitzpatrick

All rated toss up by Cook with the exception of Fitzpatrick and Bacon, whose seats are rated lean R.

Worth noting that the only two reps rated lean R they feel the need to defend at the moment are both in their first term. (Suggesting they think the rest can take care of themselves.)

There are also ads for two open Minnesota seats currently held by Dems, though the Minnesota ads are the same attack ad against Keith Ellison with the candidates name in "[candidate] still supports him" swapped out.

Interesting that none of the 4 competitive VA races are included.
 
Ayanna Pressley's margin of victory ended up being 17 points. Wow.

‘Change can’t wait’: Massachusetts Democrat Michael E. Capuano ousted in primary

Pressley, 44, is set to become the first black woman to represent Massachusetts in Congress, as Republicans are running no candidate in the 7th District. Capuano, 66, first won the seat in 1998 but struggled to keep up with Pressley as she argued that a young and majority-nonwhite district needed a fresh voice in Washington.

“I fundamentally believe that the people closest to the pain should be closest to the power,” Pressley said on the trail.

 
Interesting that none of the 4 competitive VA races are included.

Agreed, especially Brat. (Although they helped him by obtaining and leaking private info on his opponent, so there's that.)

There are a bunch of new ads up today, but most are targeting the same seats on that list. The only new one is WA-8, where the incumbent is retiring but the Republicans have a strong candidate.

There are now six ads each for NY-22 and KY-6, districts Trump won by 15+ points.
 
Back
Top