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2013 MLB Predictions Contest - Nonny wins!

1) Boring
2) Boring
3) Boring
4) Boring
5) Sleep
6) Drool
7) Boring
 
Category 1
AL East: Tampa Bay, Toronto, NYY, Baltimore, Boston
AL Central: Detroit, Cleveland, Chi Sox, KC, Minny
AL West: SEATTLE MARINERS, LAA, Texas, Oakland, Houston

NL East: Washington, Atlanta, NYM, Phily, Miami
NL Central: Cincy, StL, Pitts, Milwaukee, Chi Cubs
NL West: LAD, San Fran, Colorado, San Diego, Arizona

ALWC: LAA, Toronto
NLWC: StL, Atlanta

Category 2
1) Justin Smoak
2) Dustin Ackley
3) Paul Kennedy
4) Paul Kennedy
5) Felix Hernandez
6) Robinson Cano
7) none
8) Larry Bernandez (Felix will be so good that his alter ego will get an invite as well)
9) Hunter Pence
10) Kyle Seager
11) Houston Astros
12) SEATTLE MARINERS

Category 3
Seattle– 117 wins
St. Louis – 85 wins
Tampa Bay – 94 wins
Houston – 60 wins
Colorado – 79 wins
1) Felix Hernandez
2) Justin Upton
3) Felix Hernandez
4) Clayton Kershaw
5) Jackie Bradley Jr
6) Adam Eaton
7) Dustin Ackley
8) Justin Smoak
9) ICHIRO!!!
10) Wilhemson
11) Felix Hernandez
12) Felix Hernandez

1) Seattle Mariners
2) Atlanta
3) Seattle Mariners

Category 4
1) Under
2) Over
3) Over
4) Under
5) Over
6) Over
7) Under
8) Under
9) Under
10) Under

1) Harper
2) Bourn
3) ICHIRO!!!
4) Hamilton
5) Trout
6) Lincecum
7) Wheeler
8) Lee
9) Soriano
10) Price
 
is Machado ROY eligible?

No, if I'm reading this right:

Determining rookie status:
A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched in the Major Leagues; or (b) accumulated more than 45 days on the active roster of a Major League club or clubs during the period of 25-player limit (excluding time in the military service and time on the disabled list).


He had 191 AB last year.
 
Category 1 (Predicted Standings):
AL East:

1st: Rayz
2nd: O's
3rd: Jays
4th: Sox
5th: Yanks (ugh)

AL Central:

1st: Tiggers
2nd: Indians
3rd: Royals
4th: White Sox
5th: Twinkies

AL West:

1st: Angels
2nd: Rangers
3rd: A's
4th: Mariners
5th: 'Stros

NL East:

1st: Nats
2nd: Braves
3rd: Phils
4th: Mets
5th: Marlins

NL Central:

1st: Cards
2nd: Reds
3rd: Pirates
4th: Cubs
5th: Brewers

NL West:

1st: Giants
2nd: Dodgers
3rd: D'Backs
4th: Rockies
5th: Padres

AL Wild Cards:
1.) O's
2.) Rangers

NL Wild Cards:
1.) Braves
2.) Reds


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Category 2 (In-Season Predictions):

Following is a list of some in-season predictions. Every correct answer will be awarded 3 points.
1.) Home run leader at the end of April: Prince
2.) One player who is hitting .400 as of May 1st, 2012: No one
3.) First overall player selected in June's Amateur Draft: Appel
4.) #1 player on Baseball America's midseason top prospect list: Taveras
5.) Pitcher leading the majors in wins at the All-Star break: Price
6.) One player who misses time due to a suspension before the All-Star Game: Braun
7.) One manager who is fired before the All-Star Game: Ron Washington
8.) One player who is voted to the All-Star Game, but does not attend: Eater, Derek
9.) One player who is traded on July 31st, 2012: Matt Garza
10.) One player who has a hitting streak of at least 20 games: Miguel Cabrera
11.) First team to be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs: 'Stros
12.) First team to clinch a playoff spot: Angels


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Category 3 (End of Season Predictions):

Predict win totals of 5 teams:
-Choose any five teams, and predict their win totals at the end of the season.
-2 points are awarded for coming within 2 wins for each prediction.
-4 points are awarded for each exact prediction.

Rays, Tigers, Nationals: 94
Rockies: 74
Braves: 90

The following predictions are each worth 3 points:
1.) AL MVP: Longo
2.) NL MVP: Harper
3.) AL Cy Young: Price
4.) NL Cy Young: Kershaw
5.) AL Rookie of the Year: Myers
6.) NL Rookie of the Year: Wheeler
7.) Batting Average Leader: Miggy Cabrera
8.) Home Run Leader: Fielder
9.) Stolen Base Leader: Trout?
10.) Saves Leader: Paps
11.) Strikeouts (Pitching) Leader: Verlander
12.) ERA (Starting Pitching) Leader: Weaver

The following predictions are each worth 10 points:
1.) AL Champion: Rays
2.) NL Champion: Nationals
3.) World Series Champion: Nationals


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Category 4 (Miscellaneous Props):

Each correct answer below is worth 1 point.

Over/Unders:
1.) Baltimore’s final standing in the AL East: 3.5 (under implies 1, 2, or 3): Under
2.) St. Louis Cardinals final standing in the NL Central: 2.5 (under implies 1 or 2): Under
3.) Craig Kimbrel’s save total: 34.5: Over
4.) Alex Rodriguez’s first start: August 1st (under implies July 30th or earlier): Under
5.) Stephen Strasburg Innings Pitched: 159.5: Over
6.) Mariano Rivera’s Cy Young Finish: 3.5 (under implies 1, 2, or 3): Over
7.) Wil Myers home run total: 19.5 : Over (i'm saying 23ish)
8.) R.A. Dickey’s strikeout total: 162.5: Under
9.) Jurickson Profar’s games played (as of July 1st): 0.5: Over
10.) Billy Hamilton's stolen bases: 119.5: Under

Comparisons:
1.) More home runs: Giancarlo Stanton or Bryce Harper?: Shit.. Harper
2.) More steals: Jose Reyes or Michael Bourn?: Bourn
3.) Higher batting average: Derek Jeter or Ichiro Suzuki?: Eater
4.) Higher OPS: Josh Hamilton or Melky Cabrera?: Hamilton
5.) Higher fWAR: Mike Trout or Miguel Cabrera?: Cabrera
6.) Lower ERA: Barry Zito or Tim Lincecum?: Lincecum
7.) More strikeouts: Dylan Bundy or Zack Wheeler?: Wheeler
8.) Fewer walks: Cliff Lee or Carlos Marmol?: Lee
9.) Higher WPA/LI (win probability added stat for RP): Rafael Soriano or Aroldis Chapman?: Soriano
10.) Higher WARP: David Price or Justin Verlander?: Verlander
 
Last edited:
Category 1 (Predicted Standings):

AL East:
1. Rays
2. Blue Jays
3. Red Sox
4. Orioles
5. Yankees

AL Central:
1. Tigers
2. Indians
3. Royals
4. White Sox
5. Twins

AL West:
1. Angels
2. Rangers
3. A’s
4. Mariners
5. Astros

NL East:
1. Nats
2. Braves
3. Phillies
4. Mets
5. Marlins

NL Central:
1. Reds
2. Cards
3. Pirates
4. Brewers
5. Cubs
NL West:

1. Giants
2. Diamondbacks
3. Dodgers
4. Padres
5. Rockies

AL Wild Cards:
1.) Blue Jays
2.) Rangers

NL Wild Cards:
1.) Braves
2.) Diamondbacks

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Category 2 (In-Season Predictions):

Following is a list of some in-season predictions. Every correct answer will be awarded 3 points.
1.) Home run leader at the end of April: Ryan Howard
2.) One player who is hitting .400 as of May 1st, 2012: Braun
3.) First overall player selected in June's Amateur Draft: Appel
4.) #1 player on Baseball America's midseason top prospect list: Taveras
5.) Pitcher leading the majors in wins at the All-Star break: Verlander
6.) One player who misses time due to a suspension before the All-Star Game: Yasmani Grandal
7.) One manager who is fired before the All-Star Game: None
8.) One player who is voted to the All-Star Game, but does not attend: Josh Hamilton
9.) One player who is traded on July 31st, 2012: Huston Street
10.) One player who has a hitting streak of at least 20 games: Buster Posey
11.) First team to be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs: Marlins
12.) First team to clinch a playoff spot: Tigers

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Category 3 (End of Season Predictions):

Predict win totals of 5 teams:
Dodgers 85
Marlins 55
Blue Jays 90
Rockies 73
A’s 88

The following predictions are each worth 3 points:
1.) AL MVP: Trout
2.) NL MVP: Votto
3.) AL Cy Young: Verlander
4.) NL Cy Young: Kershaw
5.) AL Rookie of the Year: Trevor Bauer
6.) NL Rookie of the Year: Gerrit Cole
7.) Batting Average Leader: Miguel Cabrera
8.) Home Run Leader: Jose Bautista
9.) Stolen Base Leader: Trout
10.) Saves Leader: Kimbrel
11.) Strikeouts (Pitching) Leader: King Felix
12.) ERA (Starting Pitching) Leader: Weaver

The following predictions are each worth 10 points:
1.) AL Champion: Angels
2.) NL Champion: Reds
3.) World Series Champion: Reds

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Category 4 (Miscellaneous Props):

Each correct answer below is worth 1 point.

Over/Unders:
1.) Baltimore’s final standing in the AL East: 3.5 (under implies 1, 2, or 3) Over
2.) St. Louis Cardinals final standing in the NL Central: 2.5 (under implies 1 or 2) Under
3.) Craig Kimbrel’s save total: 34.5 Over
4.) Alex Rodriguez’s first start: August 1st (under implies July 30th or earlier) Over
5.) Stephen Strasburg Innings Pitched: 159.5 Over
6.) Mariano Rivera’s Cy Young Finish: 3.5 (under implies 1, 2, or 3) Over
7.) Wil Myers home run total: 19.5 Under
8.) R.A. Dickey’s strikeout total: 162.5 Under
9.) Jurickson Profar’s games played (as of July 1st): 0.5 Over
10.) Billy Hamilton's stolen bases: 119.5 Under

Comparisons:
1.) More home runs: Giancarlo Stanton or Bryce Harper? Stanton
2.) More steals: Jose Reyes or Michael Bourn? Bourn
3.) Higher batting average: Derek Jeter or Ichiro Suzuki? Ichiro
4.) Higher OPS: Josh Hamilton or Melky Cabrera? Hamilton
5.) Higher fWAR: Mike Trout or Miguel Cabrera? Trout
6.) Lower ERA: Barry Zito or Tim Lincecum? Lincecum
7.) More strikeouts: Dylan Bundy or Zack Wheeler? Wheeler
8.) Fewer walks: Cliff Lee or Carlos Marmol? Marmol
9.) Higher WPA/LI (win probability added stat for RP): Rafael Soriano or Aroldis Chapman? Chapman
10.) Higher WARP: David Price or Justin Verlander? Verlander



Thanks, BBD!
 
Last edited:
Category 1 (Predicted Standings):
AL East:
1. Rays
2. Blue Jays
3. Red Sox
4. Yankees
5. Orioles

AL Central:
1. Tigers
2. White Sox
3. Indians
4. Royals
5. Twins

AL West:
1. Angels
2. Rangers
3. A's
4. Mariners
5. Astros

NL East:
1. Nationals
2. Braves
3. Mets
4. Phillies
5. Marlins

NL Central:
1. Reds
2. Cardinals
3. Pirates
4. Brewers
5. Cubs

NL West:
1. Dodgers
2. Giants
3. Padres
4. Rockies
5. D-backs

AL Wild Cards:
1.) Rangers
2.) Blue Jays

NL Wild Cards:
1.) Braves
2.) Cardinals


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Category 2 (In-Season Predictions):

Following is a list of some in-season predictions. Every correct answer will be awarded 3 points.
1.) Home run leader at the end of April: Alfonso Soriano
2.) One player who is hitting .400 as of May 1st, 2012: Mauer
3.) First overall player selected in June's Amateur Draft: Appel
4.) #1 player on Baseball America's midseason top prospect list: Bundy
5.) Pitcher leading the majors in wins at the All-Star break: Cueto
6.) One player who misses time due to a suspension before the All-Star Game: Bryce Harper
7.) One manager who is fired before the All-Star Game: Eric Wedge
8.) One player who is voted to the All-Star Game, but does not attend: Dustin Pedroia
9.) One player who is traded on July 31st, 2012: Matt Garza
10.) One player who has a hitting streak of at least 20 games: Jimmy Rollins
11.) First team to be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs: Astros
12.) First team to clinch a playoff spot: Nationals


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Category 3 (End of Season Predictions):

Predict win totals of 5 teams:
Cubs - 72
Nationals - 96
Red - 92
Pirates - 83
Cardinals - 86

The following predictions are each worth 3 points:
1.) AL MVP: Pujols
2.) NL MVP: Votto
3.) AL Cy Young: Price
4.) NL Cy Young: Kershaw
5.) AL Rookie of the Year: Bruce Rondon
6.) NL Rookie of the Year: Shelby Miller
7.) Batting Average Leader: Pujols
8.) Home Run Leader: Braun
9.) Stolen Base Leader: Evereth Cabrera
10.) Saves Leader: Aroldis Chapman
11.) Strikeouts (Pitching) Leader: Kershaw
12.) ERA (Starting Pitching) Leader: Jared Weaver

The following predictions are each worth 10 points:
1.) AL Champion: Angels
2.) NL Champion: Reds
3.) World Series Champion: Reds


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Category 4 (Miscellaneous Props):

Each correct answer below is worth 1 point.

Over/Unders:
1.) Baltimore’s final standing in the AL East: 3.5 (under implies 1, 2, or 3) - OVER
2.) St. Louis Cardinals final standing in the NL Central: 2.5 (under implies 1 or 2) - UNDER
3.) Craig Kimbrel’s save total: 34.5 - OVER
4.) Alex Rodriguez’s first start: August 1st (under implies July 30th or earlier) - UNDER
5.) Stephen Strasburg Innings Pitched: 159.5 - OVER
6.) Mariano Rivera’s Cy Young Finish: 3.5 (under implies 1, 2, or 3) - OVER
7.) Wil Myers home run total: 19.5 - UNDER
8.) R.A. Dickey’s strikeout total: 162.5 - UNDER
9.) Jurickson Profar’s games played (as of July 1st): 0.5 - OVER
10.) Billy Hamilton's stolen bases: 119.5 - OVER

Comparisons:
1.) More home runs: Giancarlo Stanton or Bryce Harper? Stanton
2.) More steals: Jose Reyes or Michael Bourn? Reyes
3.) Higher batting average: Derek Jeter or Ichiro Suzuki? Suzuki
4.) Higher OPS: Josh Hamilton or Melky Cabrera? Hamilton
5.) Higher fWAR: Mike Trout or Miguel Cabrera? Trout
6.) Lower ERA: Barry Zito or Tim Lincecum? Zito
7.) More strikeouts: Dylan Bundy or Zack Wheeler? Wheeler
8.) Fewer walks: Cliff Lee or Carlos Marmol? Marmol
9.) Higher WPA/LI (win probability added stat for RP): Rafael Soriano or Aroldis Chapman? Chapman
10.) Higher WARP: David Price or Justin Verlander? Price
 
I'd like to change my pick for AL ROY, please.

AL ROY: Brandon Maurer

Didn't read that he made the opening day starting rotation until now. LOCK IT UP.
 
My favorite is reading everyone's responses for who they think is most likely to get suspended, and then try to imagine how/why it would happen.
 
This is a good time to say that if you DO want to change an answer, you have until 8 PM on Sunday. Either PM me or put it in a new post (like dv7 just did). If you just edit your original post, I'm not going to see it.
 
My favorite is reading everyone's responses for who they think is most likely to get suspended, and then try to imagine how/why it would happen.

Delmon Young: suspended seven games for assaulting a fan that interfered with a play in right field foul territory.
 
My favorite is reading everyone's responses for who they think is most likely to get suspended, and then try to imagine how/why it would happen.

Bryce Harper will 100% get suspended for a starting a fight after getting beaned and/or thrown inside to, bro.
 
1. Toronto
2. Baltimore
3. New York
4. Tampa
5. Boston

1. Detroit
2. Kansas City
3. Chicago
4. Cleveland
5. Minnesota

1. Los Angelas
2. Texas
3. Oakland
4. Seattle
5. Houston

1. Washington
2. Atlanta
3. Philadelphia
4. New York
5. Miami

1. Cincinnati
2. Pittsurgh
3. St. Louis
4. Milwaukee
5. Chicago

1. Los Angelas
2. San Diego
3. San Francisco
4. Arizona

Wild Cards:
1. Texas
2. Oakland

1. Atlanta
2. Pittsburgh

1.) Home run leader at the end of April: Albert Pujols
2.) One player who is hitting .400 as of May 1st, 2012: Mike Trout
3.) First overall player selected in June's Amateur Draft: Mark Appel
4.) #1 player on Baseball America's midseason top prospect list: Gerrit Cole
5.) Pitcher leading the majors in wins at the All-Star break: Stephen Strasburg
6.) One player who misses time due to a suspension before the All-Star Game: Dan Haren
7.) One manager who is fired before the All-Star Game: Clint Hurdle
8.) One player who is voted to the All-Star Game, but does not attend: Derek Jeter
9.) One player who is traded on July 31st, 2012: Justin Morneau
10.) One player who has a hitting streak of at least 20 games: Mike Trout
11.) First team to be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs: Houston Astros
12.) First team to clinch a playoff spot: Angels

-Choose any five teams, and predict their win totals at the end of the season.
Astros 61, Marlins 65, Cardinals 82, Diamondbacks 76, Pirates 88



1.) AL MVP: Albert Pujols
2.) NL MVP: Andrew McCutchen
3.) AL Cy Young: Justin Verlander
4.) NL Cy Young: Stephen Strasburg
5.) AL Rookie of the Year: Profar
6.) NL Rookie of the Year: Gerrit Cole
7.) Batting Average Leader: Miguel Cabrera
8.) Home Run Leader: Jose Bautista
9.) Stolen Base Leader: Jose Reyes
10.) Saves Leader: Mariano Rivera
11.) Strikeouts (Pitching) Leader: Clayton Kershaw
12.) ERA (Starting Pitching) Leader: Clayton Kershaw


1.) AL Champion: Angels
2.) NL Champion: Nationals
3.) World Series Champion: Angels

Over/Unders:
1.) Baltimore’s final standing in the AL East: 3.5 (under implies 1, 2, or 3) UNDER
2.) St. Louis Cardinals final standing in the NL Central: 2.5 (under implies 1 or 2) OVER
3.) Craig Kimbrel’s save total: 34.5 UNDER
4.) Alex Rodriguez’s first start: August 1st (under implies July 30th or earlier) UNDER
5.) Stephen Strasburg Innings Pitched: 159.5 OVER
6.) Mariano Rivera’s Cy Young Finish: 3.5 (under implies 1, 2, or 3) OVER
7.) Wil Myers home run total: 19.5 UNDER
8.) R.A. Dickey’s strikeout total: 162.5 UNDER
9.) Jurickson Profar’s games played (as of July 1st): 0.5 OVER
10.) Billy Hamilton's stolen bases: 119.5 UNDER

Comparisons:
1.) More home runs: Giancarlo Stanton or Bryce Harper? STANTON
2.) More steals: Jose Reyes or Michael Bourn? REYES
3.) Higher batting average: Derek Jeter or Ichiro Suzuki? SUZUKI
4.) Higher OPS: Josh Hamilton or Melky Cabrera? CABRERA
5.) Higher fWAR: Mike Trout or Miguel Cabrera? TROUT
6.) Lower ERA: Barry Zito or Tim Lincecum? LINCECUM
7.) More strikeouts: Dylan Bundy or Zack Wheeler? WHEELER
8.) Fewer walks: Cliff Lee or Carlos Marmol? MARMOL
9.) Higher WPA/LI (win probability added stat for RP): Rafael Soriano or Aroldis Chapman? CHAPMAN
10.) Higher WARP: David Price or Justin Verlander? VERLANDER
 
one scoring suggestion: instead of having to get the exact place a team finishes right, where you can get screwed if one team outperforms, i'd rather either have it rated by how close you get to the actual finish, or my preferred approach is to give you a point if the team finished a head of the team you had following it.

so if you picked the al east:
jays
yanks
rays
orioles
sawx

and the actual finish is:
sawx
jays
yanks
rays
o's

you would get 3 points instead of getting 0, while keeping the reward for nailing the division champ.
 
one scoring suggestion: instead of having to get the exact place a team finishes right, where you can get screwed if one team outperforms, i'd rather either have it rated by how close you get to the actual finish, or my preferred approach is to give you a point if the team finished a head of the team you had following it.

so if you picked the al east:
jays
yanks
rays
orioles
sawx

and the actual finish is:
sawx
jays
yanks
rays
o's

you would get 3 points instead of getting 0, while keeping the reward for nailing the division champ.

Can you explain that a little more?
 
Hm, I guess I need to switch up my player to be traded since Johan Santana's stupid arm fell off. I’ll switch to Huston Street.
 
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