One of the things that I have noticed in following football recruiting this year is that, in my opinion, the rankings done by Rivals and others seem to have diminishing value once you get below four stars. What I mean by that is not “rankings don’t matter”, I am being supporter of the view that in general teams that get higher ranked recruits will win more football games. Instead, I think there are two problems with using rankings below 4-star: 1) there is too wide of a range of players that get 3-star ratings and 2) there seem to be a lot of players blowing up on the recruiting front that are “unrated”. There are 3-star players with multiple offers from elite programs and there are 3-star players getting relatively little recruiting interest. The unrated category is even worse. I used to think that “unrated” meant “one-star” but now I realize that unrated means they just haven’t reviewed them yet for one reason or another. When I start looking into a player that Wake has offered that is unrated, I now appreciate that I could find a really wide range of actual recruiting interest for that player.
Once you get below 4-stars, I find the quality of the offer sheet is a better measure for me to differentiate players. For example, I had thought before that I would like to do a year over year comparison of how Wake has done in football recruiting using a measure of the quality of offer sheets, but it would simply require too much time and effort.
So it goes without saying that I was pretty psyched when I ran across rankbyoffers.com. It appears to be a website that uses a formula to rank players based solely on the QUANTITY and QUALITY of their offer sheets. Maybe some of you were aware of it already, but it is new to me. Like anything that is based solely on a formula I think this will have some flaws. For example, I think that it would be difficult to figure out how to weigh quantity versus quality in a formula. I also think that offer sheets can be impacted by a wide range of factors (timing of commitments, GPA etc etc). So it is not perfect. However, I think that it will be a good tool for differentiating players within the wide range of 3-star and unranked players. It also gives some national perspective for players outside of (for example) the Rivals 250. I am going to incorporate these rankings into my Big Board alongside the Rivals rankings. It should be interesting to follow over period of years.
As a preview, here are the players on the Big Board that are ranked in overall top 400 by Rankbyoffers:
#235 Kalif Jackson (WR)
#321 Ryan Gibson (OL)
#327 Jake Bargas (TE)
#329 Riley Nicholson (LB)
#352 Kyle Henderson (DL)
#354 Quarvez Boulware (OL)
#364 Brian Chaffin (OL)
#382 Devine Ozigbo (RB)
#394 Chris Cunningham (TE)
#395 DJ Moore (WR)
It looks like there is info out on the site for 2013 and 2014. Maybe someone has the time today to put together a summary of how our players in those classes fared in the rankings.
Once you get below 4-stars, I find the quality of the offer sheet is a better measure for me to differentiate players. For example, I had thought before that I would like to do a year over year comparison of how Wake has done in football recruiting using a measure of the quality of offer sheets, but it would simply require too much time and effort.
So it goes without saying that I was pretty psyched when I ran across rankbyoffers.com. It appears to be a website that uses a formula to rank players based solely on the QUANTITY and QUALITY of their offer sheets. Maybe some of you were aware of it already, but it is new to me. Like anything that is based solely on a formula I think this will have some flaws. For example, I think that it would be difficult to figure out how to weigh quantity versus quality in a formula. I also think that offer sheets can be impacted by a wide range of factors (timing of commitments, GPA etc etc). So it is not perfect. However, I think that it will be a good tool for differentiating players within the wide range of 3-star and unranked players. It also gives some national perspective for players outside of (for example) the Rivals 250. I am going to incorporate these rankings into my Big Board alongside the Rivals rankings. It should be interesting to follow over period of years.
As a preview, here are the players on the Big Board that are ranked in overall top 400 by Rankbyoffers:
#235 Kalif Jackson (WR)
#321 Ryan Gibson (OL)
#327 Jake Bargas (TE)
#329 Riley Nicholson (LB)
#352 Kyle Henderson (DL)
#354 Quarvez Boulware (OL)
#364 Brian Chaffin (OL)
#382 Devine Ozigbo (RB)
#394 Chris Cunningham (TE)
#395 DJ Moore (WR)
It looks like there is info out on the site for 2013 and 2014. Maybe someone has the time today to put together a summary of how our players in those classes fared in the rankings.
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