Some more data based notes.
Italy - I continue to watch this nation the most closely for what others can hope to move towards in time. Scary I just wrote that sentence . . . but rate of total case increase below 7.5% for the first time. New cases day over day again lower - a 4-5% drop.
Elsewhere in Europe -
- Spain - #'s could still move bc unlike Italy they offer up multiple updates a day. But new cases today are lower than each of the last two days!! Turn that curve.
- Germany - New cases today down day over day but WAY up over two days ago. And they almost had as many new cases as Spain.
- Austria - Bizarre number reporting. Way up then way down. Not sure how they are gathering their data. The overall pattern over the last 5 days is really ugly - total cases up 136%. Only the UK (see below) and Portugal at 160+% over 5 days have done worse of the nations I track in Europe.
- UK - Brutal week. But it does follow the pattern of nations that proceeded them into the big wave. Total cases up over 300% over the last 5 days.
LatAm - Scares the hell out of me.
US - Some good and some bad. The testing numbers are ramping enormously. Over 675,000 tests administered now - how that feathers into the numbers we will see over the coming days will really matter (scares the shit out of me honestly, but it's the right thing to do). .21% of the population means we have exceeded the rates of many if not most of the Euro nations. When this is all over the data that will tell the real story will be from the US and Western Europe. We are going to see just how fraudulent the Chinese have been. As for case loads, I want to wait until closer to midnight to put down the markers as so many of the states are posting many times a day (the ones that are not that I track are Utah, Minny, Indiana and Kentucky - they each post once a day). NY, WA, CA, FL, MA, NJ all do multiple updates a day. NJ is a mess. IN looks ugly too. MA not looking good the last few days. I am starting to see the rate of the increase in NY decreasing. Please start to flatten!!