OK - Final math for today. Increase in total new cases is the first number and increase/decrease in new cases day over day is second number.
Italy - 4.22% / -2.38% - I really want to see the numbers trickle down at a steeper rate.
Iran - I'm not even going to bother. I don't believe their math, at all.
South Korea - No data posted since I've been up today.
France - 3.77% / -55.63%. I tend to think this is anecdotal. They had over 7,000 new cases 2 days ago and just 2,100 today. Something is likely amiss in the reporting.
Switzerland - 5.96% / -8.94%. Their math bounces around a bit, sort of like Austria. Bad days they are doing 1,000 to 1,100 new cases a day. Good days 600 to 700. But we are no longer seeing exponential rises in numbers. Higher infection rate, btw, than Italy.
Netherlands - 7.97% / 6.12%. They are flattening and together with Belgium look to be moving into the same type of place Italy was a handful of days ago. We are no longer seeing 13-20% total case rises day over day.
Norway - 5.84% / 10.08%. I'm actually a bit concerned they keep ticking up. But they do a ton of testing. 200 or so new cases a day every day for a while now. Want to see it start ticking down consistently.
Sweden 12.55% / 21.29%. They have no really done the full on social distancing and it is showing. New cases were 200-300 a few days back. Now they are 500-650 a day.
Belgium - 9.91% / 16.40% - See Holland.
Austria - 3.9% / -21.3% Data starting to look a bit more consistent. But I need to see more. 300 one day then 1300 the next, then 500, then 850, then 550 or so the last couple of days.
Denmark - 8.6% / 12.75%. Jumped from 180 or so most days to high 200's the last few days. Hope that is the peak. We'll see.
Portugal - 9.49%/ -3.09%. Sort of like Austria although not as big a variance. Want more time to confirm a trend.
Ireland - 11.7% / 89.6%. Started a bit later on the distancing. May take a bit.
Spain - 7.63% / -3.03%. They are a bit behind Italy but definitely showing progress on lowering that day over day total increase and starting to see some down days on new cases day over day.
Germany - 21.3% / 23.46%. Definitely went full on social distancing later. So I think the math will bounce around for a while. Bad day.
UK - 14.42% / -1.7%. Crazy high death rate, low testing numbers, behind other nations on distancing. I think the hard part is yet to come.
Japan 4.66% / -46%. Generally seeing new cases go up 200 or so a day. That's up from around 100 a day last week. Today it was only 70. But I think it is anecdotal and I'll wake up and see a bigger number in the AM.
Canada - 18.03% / 77.92%. Ugh. Looks like Quebec is turning into a hot spot. Bad day. Generally on a similar trajectory as the US
Australia - 5.22% / -16.17%. Domestic travel bans in effect now. In a country with only a handful of real population centers it makes sense. Data bouncing around. Sort of on a similar trajectory as the US and Canada.
USA - 13.19% / 3.91%. The rate of increase in total cases looks like it is holding steady or even trending down a bit. That being said it was still a record day on new cases, led by New York having a record day on new cases. Of the states I track Washington, Indiana, New York and Florida all had pretty bad days. I am quite concerned about Florida generally.
