So it comes down to this: Manning can't be judged as a coach until you've seen him coach some subjective level of talent that you have in your mind. Meanwhile, I and others believe he can be judged relative to the talent he has and the results he's displayed over the previous four seasons. The problem with your theory is that talent is not a guarantee. An injury, transfer, etc, etc just extends the time that a coach can be judged. Most thought year 4 was the year to judge Manning from the start. Then he "overachieved" in year 3 and took a huge step back in year 4, so the target changes and he can't be judged until year 5. I get that you've drawn a line in the sand for next season, but if we have a few transfers and our freshmen don't prove to be as talented as we hope, it means we may Manning without you ever really deciding whether he was a good coach or not over the course of 5 seasons. I just don't buy into the idea that there must be X level of talent, where X is not easily defined, before we can decide whether a coach can coach worth a damn.