Pilchard
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Houston Cougars:
Vegas line is WF+1. KP projects a 2 point Houston win. Houston is 2-1; #65 in KP ratings. They beat McNeese State (#320) by 28 and Liberty (#167) by 2. They lost to Drexel (#208).
Kelvin Sampson (formerly IU head man and NCAA violator) coaches the Cougs for the past 4 years. Last year, Houston went 21-11 (12-6 in the American Athletic Conference), and lost in the NIT first round.
The Cougars play at a very slow tempo (#288). They are the most efficient offense WF has faced (#50), and are particularly strong on the boards (#34 in offensive rebounding) and scoring in the paint (55% on 2 point shots). They are a poor FT shooting team (#276 64%). On defense, Houston fouls a lot (#278 in FTA per FGA), but they defend the 3 well (28.6%), and don't give up many offensive boards (#59 in offensive rebounding %).
Houston is not huge starting: 6-1, 6-3, 6-3, 6-6, 6-8. Their two bigs don't shoot the 3. Their best player is guard Rod Gray from Forest City, NC. He scored 37 against Drexel in an opening round loss shooting 5 for 8 from 3. He had 19 against Liberty yesterday.
Like WF, Houston has struggled in the tournament relative to their pre-season rankings, losing to Drexel and beating Liberty by two. Vegas and KenPom think the game will be close.
Vegas line is WF+1. KP projects a 2 point Houston win. Houston is 2-1; #65 in KP ratings. They beat McNeese State (#320) by 28 and Liberty (#167) by 2. They lost to Drexel (#208).
Kelvin Sampson (formerly IU head man and NCAA violator) coaches the Cougs for the past 4 years. Last year, Houston went 21-11 (12-6 in the American Athletic Conference), and lost in the NIT first round.
The Cougars play at a very slow tempo (#288). They are the most efficient offense WF has faced (#50), and are particularly strong on the boards (#34 in offensive rebounding) and scoring in the paint (55% on 2 point shots). They are a poor FT shooting team (#276 64%). On defense, Houston fouls a lot (#278 in FTA per FGA), but they defend the 3 well (28.6%), and don't give up many offensive boards (#59 in offensive rebounding %).
Houston is not huge starting: 6-1, 6-3, 6-3, 6-6, 6-8. Their two bigs don't shoot the 3. Their best player is guard Rod Gray from Forest City, NC. He scored 37 against Drexel in an opening round loss shooting 5 for 8 from 3. He had 19 against Liberty yesterday.
Like WF, Houston has struggled in the tournament relative to their pre-season rankings, losing to Drexel and beating Liberty by two. Vegas and KenPom think the game will be close.
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