Pilchard
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The Deacs host the Pack for a late night contest this Wednesday for WF's regular season finale. The Deacs just played the Pack 5 games ago (WF won 69-51 - Alondes led with 17 points, 10 boards and 7 assists). Here is a link to the prior Pack breakdown: https://www.ogboards.com/forums/showthread.php/33394-MBB-Game-25-WF-at-NC-State-Wednesday-7-pm-ACCN.
Pack Update: State is 1-3 since the home loss to WF on February 9:
@Pitt 71 State 69 (Pitt destroyed State on the Boards +20)
State 76 @GT 61 (State outscored GT by 18 points from 3; Terquavion had 26 points and 6 three-pointers)
BC 69 @State 61 (BC dominated inside; 62% from 2; Eagle C Quinten Post scored 18 points - 9 for 10 from the field)
UNC 84 @State 74 (again, UNC dominated the paint: 65% from 2; Bacot 28 and 18 - 11 for 13 from the field; UNC +18 on the boards)
Projection: KP projects an 82-70 WF win in 70 possessions. State is DFL in the ACC in:
a) defensive efficiency,
b) keeping teams off the offensive glass, and
c) 3 point D (the Pack is 2nd to last in 2 PT defense).
WF is #1 in the ACC in 2 PT FG%. Seems like a pretty straightforward analysis: State is defenseless inside; WF is essentially unstoppable when it takes the ball to the basket. The Deacs should score early and often as long as WF pounds the Pack in the paint. One concern is that WF played close to a perfect offensive game on Saturday night against L'ville (68% from 2; 48% from 3; 82% from the line; 10 TOs). Teams don't typically play to that level in consecutive games, but if there's a defense that is receptive to surrendering offensive fireworks, its the Pack. Defensively, the key will be defending the 3, State is #2 in the ACC in percentage of points from behind the arc. In the Pack's 4 ACC wins, they have hit 44% of their three pointers and hit an average of 11+ three pointers in those games. So, as long as Terquavion doesn't have a 6 for 8 game from 3; the Pack lacks the firepower to keep up. Let's close out the regular season in style.
Pack Update: State is 1-3 since the home loss to WF on February 9:
@Pitt 71 State 69 (Pitt destroyed State on the Boards +20)
State 76 @GT 61 (State outscored GT by 18 points from 3; Terquavion had 26 points and 6 three-pointers)
BC 69 @State 61 (BC dominated inside; 62% from 2; Eagle C Quinten Post scored 18 points - 9 for 10 from the field)
UNC 84 @State 74 (again, UNC dominated the paint: 65% from 2; Bacot 28 and 18 - 11 for 13 from the field; UNC +18 on the boards)
Projection: KP projects an 82-70 WF win in 70 possessions. State is DFL in the ACC in:
a) defensive efficiency,
b) keeping teams off the offensive glass, and
c) 3 point D (the Pack is 2nd to last in 2 PT defense).
WF is #1 in the ACC in 2 PT FG%. Seems like a pretty straightforward analysis: State is defenseless inside; WF is essentially unstoppable when it takes the ball to the basket. The Deacs should score early and often as long as WF pounds the Pack in the paint. One concern is that WF played close to a perfect offensive game on Saturday night against L'ville (68% from 2; 48% from 3; 82% from the line; 10 TOs). Teams don't typically play to that level in consecutive games, but if there's a defense that is receptive to surrendering offensive fireworks, its the Pack. Defensively, the key will be defending the 3, State is #2 in the ACC in percentage of points from behind the arc. In the Pack's 4 ACC wins, they have hit 44% of their three pointers and hit an average of 11+ three pointers in those games. So, as long as Terquavion doesn't have a 6 for 8 game from 3; the Pack lacks the firepower to keep up. Let's close out the regular season in style.
