Wanted to take Syracuse, but they just announced that 3 more players are sitting out the season, including their top 2 running backs and a starting LB. That's why the line has gone through the roof. There will be spots to go against UNC this year, but doesn't seem like this is one of them.
Miami has brought in D'Eriq King from Houston, and have a new OC who apparently loves to throw it around, but that is a lot of moving parts to transition for game 1 and with no Spring practice. Also, Miami has been dreadful as a favorite of a TD or more: 0-6 with 5 outright losses.
Leaning toward to two games this week:
- South Alabama +8 over Tulane: USA already has a game under their belt (beating S. Miss as a big dog), and they are opening a new football stadium, which should have USA jacked up (unfortunately, the line has already moved three points as Tulane opened +11; so, some of the value is gone). I would also shade the under 52.5 in this game.
- Wake Forest +32 over Clemson: Clemson has not been great out of the gate recently, and they only return 11 starters (I know the Tigers just bring in more studs, but it takes some time for those guys to find their way), and their leading returning tackler, Skalski, is out for the first half. Also, Clemson is working in new receivers (Dabo's kid is actually listed on the two deep), and hopefully, they will limit the Tigers ability to exploit the WF corners. Not saying WF is going to win or even be close, but think Boogie, and the WF defense will slow Clemson enough to keep it respectable.
Also, I am on Charlotte +19 (now, 17) against App. State. Just think that 3 coaches in 3 years will have to have some impact, and I really like Will Healy the Charlotte HC, he will be a Power V coach soon. They return their starting QB, who was solid last year, and have a stud RB transfer from N. Illinois.
FWIW, the La Tech at Baylor game has been cancelled because an outbreak impacting La Tech.