Pilchard
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The world has been waiting all season for this matchup: it's finally here. Battle for the ACC Cellar. Here is the breakdown of the BC Eagles:
Record/Rating: BC is 10-7 (1-4 ACC) #109 KP. They have two top 100 wins: #32 FSU last Sunday and #63 Minnesota in the ACC/Big 10 challenge. BC has a couple of awful losses: #189 IUPUI and #191 Hartford (WF's loss to #271 HBU was much worse). BC is 1-3 on the road this year. Their lone road win was by 3 at #110 DePaul. The Eagles lost 5 straight before beating FSU last weekend.
Offense: BC's O is #91 in the nation and #10 in the ACC. To the extent that BC has a strength, it is on offense. They don't commit a ton of turnovers (#75), and like WF, the Eagles get to the line a lot: #20 in the nation in FTA/FGA and 23% of the offense comes from FTs. Otherwise, their offense is pretty mediocre: BC has not shot the ball well this year (32% from 3 - #265; 51% effective FG% - #191), but their shooting has improved in conference games 35% from and 74% from the FT line in ACC games. The improved shooting is partially attributable to the return to form of Jordan Chatman, who missed a couple of weeks in December with an injury, but has been on fire in his last two games (11 for 18 from 3 against FSU and L'ville). This is the first team WF has played in a while where the opponent does not have an interior player that will exploit WF soft interior defense.
Defense: Poor. BC's D is #131 overall and #13 in ACC games (WF is DFL in the ACC in defense in conference games). The Eagles play man and zone and does not force many turnovers on D (#313) in TOs. Like WF, BC has been particularly weak in defending the paint in ACC games allowing 54% shooting on 2s and allowing offensive rebounds on 33% of missed opponents shots. Teams that work for a good shot against BC's D typically get one.
Lineup: BC is not deep (#300 in bench minutes) and not particularly experienced (#285). Against FSU, they started: PG 6-1 Jr. Ky Bowman, SG 6-2 Fr. Wynston Tabbs, SF 6-5 Sr. Jordan Chatman, PF 6-8 So. Steffon Mitchell, C 6-11 Jr. Nik Popovic. No bench player played more than 10 minutes. Son of a former BC legend, Chris Herren Jr. has been erratic. Bowman and Chatman are BC's primary scorers, and as stated above, Chatman has been particularly hot lately. Bowman, from NC, is coming off a 37 point game against FSU.
Bottom line: KP projects: BC 74 WF 73. This game looks to be close and high-scoring as both teams struggle on the defensive end. To the extent WF has a defensive gameplan, would think it would be to limit the scoring chances for Bowman and Chatman and make the rest of BC's team beat you. Would also think Hoard will have the most scoring opportunities that he has had in awhile. If I had to pick a side, recommend the over. The game likely will be close, and Bowman is dangerous in an end of game scenario. Thinking a late BC win is most likely, but either team is about equally likely to make the critical game-losing mistake.
Record/Rating: BC is 10-7 (1-4 ACC) #109 KP. They have two top 100 wins: #32 FSU last Sunday and #63 Minnesota in the ACC/Big 10 challenge. BC has a couple of awful losses: #189 IUPUI and #191 Hartford (WF's loss to #271 HBU was much worse). BC is 1-3 on the road this year. Their lone road win was by 3 at #110 DePaul. The Eagles lost 5 straight before beating FSU last weekend.
Offense: BC's O is #91 in the nation and #10 in the ACC. To the extent that BC has a strength, it is on offense. They don't commit a ton of turnovers (#75), and like WF, the Eagles get to the line a lot: #20 in the nation in FTA/FGA and 23% of the offense comes from FTs. Otherwise, their offense is pretty mediocre: BC has not shot the ball well this year (32% from 3 - #265; 51% effective FG% - #191), but their shooting has improved in conference games 35% from and 74% from the FT line in ACC games. The improved shooting is partially attributable to the return to form of Jordan Chatman, who missed a couple of weeks in December with an injury, but has been on fire in his last two games (11 for 18 from 3 against FSU and L'ville). This is the first team WF has played in a while where the opponent does not have an interior player that will exploit WF soft interior defense.
Defense: Poor. BC's D is #131 overall and #13 in ACC games (WF is DFL in the ACC in defense in conference games). The Eagles play man and zone and does not force many turnovers on D (#313) in TOs. Like WF, BC has been particularly weak in defending the paint in ACC games allowing 54% shooting on 2s and allowing offensive rebounds on 33% of missed opponents shots. Teams that work for a good shot against BC's D typically get one.
Lineup: BC is not deep (#300 in bench minutes) and not particularly experienced (#285). Against FSU, they started: PG 6-1 Jr. Ky Bowman, SG 6-2 Fr. Wynston Tabbs, SF 6-5 Sr. Jordan Chatman, PF 6-8 So. Steffon Mitchell, C 6-11 Jr. Nik Popovic. No bench player played more than 10 minutes. Son of a former BC legend, Chris Herren Jr. has been erratic. Bowman and Chatman are BC's primary scorers, and as stated above, Chatman has been particularly hot lately. Bowman, from NC, is coming off a 37 point game against FSU.
Bottom line: KP projects: BC 74 WF 73. This game looks to be close and high-scoring as both teams struggle on the defensive end. To the extent WF has a defensive gameplan, would think it would be to limit the scoring chances for Bowman and Chatman and make the rest of BC's team beat you. Would also think Hoard will have the most scoring opportunities that he has had in awhile. If I had to pick a side, recommend the over. The game likely will be close, and Bowman is dangerous in an end of game scenario. Thinking a late BC win is most likely, but either team is about equally likely to make the critical game-losing mistake.
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