BeachBumDeac
Cheap Date
- Joined
- Mar 17, 2011
- Messages
- 27,800
- Reaction score
- 15,499
Just for reference on the current race:
Colorado
Polling average 48.1 46.9 Obama +1.2
Rasmussen 10/29 47.0 50.0 Romney +3.0
Divergence: 4.2 to Romney
Florida
Polling average 47.5 48.0 Romney +0.5
Rasmussen 10/25 48.0 50.0 Romney +2.0
Divergence: 1.5 to Romney
Iowa
Polling average 49.1 46.1 Obama +3.0
Rasmussen 10/30 48.0 49.0 Romney +1.0
Divergence: 4.0 to Romney
Nevada
Polling average 49.5 46.0 Obama +3.5
Rasmussen 10/23 50.0 48.0 Obama +2.0
Divergence: 1.5 to Romney
New Hampshire
Polling average 48.6 46.1 Obama +2.5
Rasmussen 10/23 48.0 50.0 Romney +2.0
Divergence: 4.5 to Romney
North Carolina
Polling average 46.4 48.4 Romney +2.0
Rasmussen 10/25 46.0 52.0 Romney +6.0
Divergence: 4.0 to Romney
Ohio
Polling average 48.2 45.8 Obama +2.4
Rasmussen 10/28 48.0 50.0 Romney +2.0
Divergence: 4.4 to Romney
Virginia
Polling average 47.8 46.9 Obama +0.9
Rasmussen 10/24 48.0 50.0 Romney +2.0
Divergence: 2.9 to Romney
Current average in all swing states: Rasmussen is 3.375 points more favorable to Romney than the polling averages. This almost exactly mirrors the 3.0+ points he was favoring GOP candidates in 2010, an election where he finished as one of the least accurate pollsters, and missed the final margins by an average of 5.8 points, with an average GOP bias of 3.9 points. He also has Romney leading in five of the six states where the poll averages have Obama leading.
Rasmussen is a hack.