Has nobody noticed that Brighton have basically fallen off a cliff since the New Year?
League form since Jan 1: DDLWLWDLWLDLDLLW
16 played. 4 wins. 5 draws. 7 losses. 17 points.
For comparison. Here is shitty ass Man United's form since Jan 1: DWWWWLLWDLDDWDL
15 played. 6 wins. 5 draws. 4 losses. 23 points.
I think their 2024 form is tied directly to not being able to score (15 goals in 17 games, 5 of which came against Sheffield United in one game), and not being able to score goals for them is pretty clearly down to injuries. Enciso was out for months, finally comes back in February only for Mitoma to go down with a season-ending injury. Joao Pedro was out for 6 games towards the beginning of the year, comes back only to see Ferguson be out for the season right away. Solly March out for the season since October, Ansu Fati missed a chunk of time at the turn of the year, Mitoma and Adingra both injured + on international duty in January, they pretty much haven't been able to put together a PL-caliber attack for more than a couple of games in 2024.
I don't mean for this to be an excuse for Brighton or some sort of absolution for De Zerbi, but their leading attackers in PL starts this season are Simon Adingra at 22, Danny Welbeck at 19, Joao Pedro at 17. Ferguson made 4 starts in 2024, Mitoma only 2. And though Brighton are masters of finding diamonds in the rough, they have never been known for their depth. They have had pretty outrageous injury luck the last two seasons with almost no significant injuries to their best players, but you can see when they do, they have squad issues.
Why that matters is that even though Manchester United has been pretty snakebitten with injuries as well, your backups are still PL-experienced players or fairly highly rated young players. And Manchester United's issues revolve much more around a complete inability to defend anyone, something I attribute more to tactical acumen and a manager's abilities than I do pure ability to score goals. EtH seems unwilling, if not actually incapable, of setting up the team to just stem the tide at times, in addition to all of the other issues. From what I have watched of Brighton (which is surprisingly a lot, they always seem to have one of the mid-morning streaming slots that I use to wake myself up on the weekends), De Zerbi was willing, and over the period of time up to the turn of the year had shown himself capable, of setting up a budget team for success.
Is this way too much thought put into why I still rate De Zerbi as having done a decent job this season all things considered. You bet your ass it is. But it's a slow Friday evening and I had the time.