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Wake Forest Tennis 2019 - Men ACC Reg Season & Tourn Champs, NCAA & Indoor Runner Up

Rafi said:
We are looking very solid in singles. It would be great if we could figure out the doubles point.
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Were the doubles struggles the reason for Julian pairing with Gojo and switching 1 and 2 doubles teams, or was there an injury with Alan?
 
Rafi said:
We are looking very solid in singles. It would be great if we could figure out the doubles point.
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Unfortunately I think we beat every team in the nation with or without doubles point except for OSU since they have as many big guns as we do man for man. Not sure how much flexibility Bresky has moving around our doubles teams given they have struggled, but would be nice to move Gojo + whomever he plays best with to #3, but guessing that is not an option given rules on ordering for doubles team.
 
Looking at the lineup we rolled out last time vs OSU, I’m not convinced we can’t do it to them too at 2, 3, 5 and 6. And Gojo is really playing well now so he and Wolf would be a battle too. Obviously doubles would make it a lot easier.
 
TheIshThatSaved WakeForest said:
Looking at the lineup we rolled out last time vs OSU, I’m not convinced we can’t do it to them too at 2, 3, 5 and 6. And Gojo is really playing well now so he and Wolf would be a battle too. Obviously doubles would make it a lot easier.
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Agreed. The margins are thin now against any team at this point, but our singles lineup is really potent.
 
Rafi said:
Agreed. The margins are thin now against any team at this point, but our singles lineup is really potent.
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As long as Cungu brings his "A" game. If we lose the doubles point our margin for error is razor thin. If one of the bottom 3 don't bring it we are in deep trouble. Don't know lineup for UVA yet but Cungu lost 6-0, 6-1 in Charlottesville in February. Can't remember who he played (Goetz maybe) but we cannot afford for that to happen. Soderland/Gojo; Nakashima/Petros (remember Petros struggled last time they played; Botzer /Weirsholm those are as competitive match ups as you will see on the college level. Without the doubles point we HAVE to win all 3 to advance and that's a tall order. We can do it but these matches will be highly competitive and fun to watch.
 
We lost the doubles point in the ACC finals and at #6 and still won 4-2 with the last match looking like it was going to a 3rd set.

Va can beat us, but I think we have more margin for error.
 
I agree but you can't just look at that one match. They beat us 5-2 in Charlottesville and the reason they beat us is Cungu failed to show up and Zoblinsky lost after leading the entire match. That nite we won the doubles point. Everyone has to be on their game from here on out.
 
nvadeac said:
I agree but you can't just look at that one match. They beat us 5-2 in Charlottesville and the reason they beat us is Cungu failed to show up and Zoblinsky lost after leading the entire match. That nite we won the doubles point. Everyone has to be on their game from here on out.
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Yes and no. I take a neutral location match over a loud raucous home crowd as more indicative of future performance. There is a huge advantage in home court so that skews 1st result greatly. Additionally you take the most recent performance vs. one a number of months ago. Our boys are playing red hot in singles and very confident.

But do agree UVA has the horses to pull it off and we cannot afford any slippage especially if we lose doubles.
 
Gojo lost three of his first four sets this season, has only lost two sets since then. Has only lost one set in his last ten matches.
 
Cungu and Banthia are probably more mercurial but Melios has been wrecking opponents lately, too — he’s only lost 14 games in his past four matches, average of only 1.75 games lost per set. Not sure if he’s taken a step forward or it’s a few good matches, but no reason to think he shouldn’t win his matches going forward.
 
nvadeac said:
I agree but you can't just look at that one match. They beat us 5-2 in Charlottesville and the reason they beat us is Cungu failed to show up and Zoblinsky lost after leading the entire match. That nite we won the doubles point. Everyone has to be on their game from here on out.
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We also beat them 6-1 outdoors at home with Petros being the only loss (Soderland played the 2 that day). Both of the wins were more recent and outdoors. Hopefully the rain stays away Thursday.
 
Here's what I see in regards to doubles on our team: Botzer and Sid are great doubles players and Borna and Petros are great players, so pair up Botzer and Petros (already done) and Sid and Borna (has not been done), and we have 2 great shots at winning doubles sets. Put Mel and Zlob at 3 and they could potentially pick up a win.

It is great to see our singles playing so well, especially at 4-6.
 
nvadeac said:
I agree but you can't just look at that one match. They beat us 5-2 in Charlottesville and the reason they beat us is Cungu failed to show up and Zoblinsky lost after leading the entire match. That nite we won the doubles point. Everyone has to be on their game from here on out.
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Indoors at UVA
 
Does anyone understand the difference between these? Seems like they are saying conflicting things, particularly in the UF-Baylor and UNC-OSU matches.

UTR-Power 6 Variance:
[3] Florida vs. [6] Baylor: FLA +1.46
[2] Texas vs. [10] TCU - TX +1.03
[4] Wake Forest vs. [5] Virginia - Wake +0.81
[1] Ohio State vs. [9] North Carolina - UNC +0.08

Slam.Tennis Expected Winning Percentage (EWP):
[1] Ohio State vs. [9] North Carolina: OhioSt 88%
[2] Texas vs. [10] TCU: TX 79%
[4] Wake Forest vs. [5] Virginia: Wake 65%
[3] Florida vs. [6] Baylor: FLA 57%
 
TBDeac said:
Does anyone understand the difference between these? Seems like they are saying conflicting things, particularly in the UF-Baylor and UNC-OSU matches.

UTR-Power 6 Variance:
[3] Florida vs. [6] Baylor: FLA +1.46
[2] Texas vs. [10] TCU - TX +1.03
[4] Wake Forest vs. [5] Virginia - Wake +0.81
[1] Ohio State vs. [9] North Carolina - UNC +0.08

Slam.Tennis Expected Winning Percentage (EWP):
[1] Ohio State vs. [9] North Carolina: OhioSt 88%
[2] Texas vs. [10] TCU: TX 79%
[4] Wake Forest vs. [5] Virginia: Wake 65%
[3] Florida vs. [6] Baylor: FLA 57%
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UTR is a bit like RPI in other sports.... decent analytic attempt to predict a match-up but it's far from perfect. If you look at Ohio State vs UNC in individual UTR ratings OSU is favored on 4/6 courts. The largest difference between players on the same court is at 2 where UNC is a sizable favorite. Power 6 is an average of a team's best 6 guys so overall UNC can have a better "Power 6" than OSU even though they're underdogs on a majority of the singles matches, albeit slight underdogs on all 4.

Doubles is also really hard, maybe impossible at the NCAA level, to evaluate with individual UTR. Then there's court conditions, weather, stylistic match ups, etc. Bottom line, everyone left is really good and there aren't a lot of gaps between the teams. Last year we were a dominant #1 seed on our home courts and we still had a really close call with the A&M semifinal going down to a third set on #6 singles. It wouldn't be a shocker at all to see a couple of upsets tomorrow.
 
blackngold35 said:
UTR is a bit like RPI in other sports.... decent analytic attempt to predict a match-up but it's far from perfect. If you look at Ohio State vs UNC in individual UTR ratings OSU is favored on 4/6 courts. The largest difference between players on the same court is at 2 where UNC is a sizable favorite. Power 6 is an average of a team's best 6 guys so overall UNC can have a better "Power 6" than OSU even though they're underdogs on a majority of the singles matches, albeit slight underdogs on all 4.

Doubles is also really hard, maybe impossible at the NCAA level, to evaluate with individual UTR. Then there's court conditions, weather, stylistic match ups, etc. Bottom line, everyone left is really good and there aren't a lot of gaps between the teams. Last year we were a dominant #1 seed on our home courts and we still had a really close call with the A&M semifinal going down to a third set on #6 singles. It wouldn't be a shocker at all to see a couple of upsets tomorrow.
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Anyone that has played an organized tennis match has a UTR. It is a number from 1 to 16 that is generated based on head-to-head results. So each player's UTR is based on their college results as well as their results in ITF, ATP, and other organized tournaments over the past couple years. UTR 6 is just the number generated by adding the top 6 UTRs from each team.

The slam.tennis EWP is calculated based on the results of team matches from this college season.
 
Rafi said:
Anyone that has played an organized tennis match has a UTR. It is a number from 1 to 16 that is generated based on head-to-head results. So each player's UTR is based on their college results as well as their results in ITF, ATP, and other organized tournaments over the past couple years. UTR 6 is just the number generated by adding the top 6 UTRs from each team.

The slam.tennis EWP is calculated based on the results of team matches from this college season.
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Lineups posted on live stats at ncaa site show wake with very different singles lineup
 
jimjenkdeac said:
Lineups posted on live stats at ncaa site show wake with very different singles lineup
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Here are the lineups that were submitted by all coaches for the NCAA tournament. http://web1.ncaa.org/tennis/exec/lineup?doWhat=listing&sportCode=MTE&division=1&fromLink=Y
Coaches can pull someone out of the lineup but the order has to stay the same (i.e. if Bresky decides to pull Cungu for some reason then Melios has to play 4, Sid moves up to 5 and Yuval steps in at 6).
 
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