If I was handicapping this game dispassionately, I would be all over BC on Saturday. Love going against a team like WF after they hit 54% of their threes, as teams often bounce next time out (particularly on the road). Also, as bad a shooting team as BC is, got to think that their current 26% three point percentage in ACC games has to improve at least a little. Keep in mind that BC generally plays tight low scoring games in Conte, these are the point totals in regulation their last 5 games:
- Duke: 129
- ND: 133
- VT: 118
- Stonehill: 119
- New Hampshire 128
KP projects a total of 140, Torvik 141. If the total is anything close to that, the under is play (get on the under early as the line will dive after it opens, if you want to try to middle). Also given how well WF shot last night and how BC has played at home, the sharp-side of this game will be to take BC if the line 4.5+, also expect this line to drop after it opens. This game will be ugly and low-scoring. Just get a win.