Strickland33
Well-known member
I love the optimism and see some of the same traits you do in Moto. Directionally you may be right.....
but those stats aren't coming anywhere near fruition for most. Is that the absolute peak for each, or your expectation of what each should put up?
If you assume each player's career year occurs in their senior year, that's 90 points, 41 rebounds, and 8 blocks per game from these seven, assuming nothing else whatsoever is provided from the guys coming in behind them. I'll let you look up what kinds of numbers we put up, even the two years we reached #1. Hint, not those numbers.
I like the optimism. Just scale down a bit, considering that expecting those numbers is setting them up for collective failure.
You've got two assumptions going on that I did not make in my post:
1) all of these guys are with the program by year 4. History tells us that the chances of this happening are extremely unlikely.
2) that each of these seasons occur at the same time. CJ and Travis's trajectories have shown this to not be the case.
Those stats are, in my opinion, how each of those guys, should they reach their potential as college players, will likely produce. Obviously, high potential players fall flat on their faces (Ty) just as often as they exceed expectations (Kyle). But, since it's a projection and given the above considerations, that's what I based my numbers on. There's nothing scientific about it: pure speculation.
That being said: per 40 minutes pace adjusted, Moto is already putting up 14.3 points (57% 2FG and 50% 3FG), 8.8 rebounds, 1.2 assists, and 1.6 steals. That's with raw instincts and a below average feel for the game. Small sample size, sure, but if he got Travis minutes and possessions, then I'm guessing that he'd fare similarly. That's where he is now. It's not crazy to think that he can post those kinds of numbers in the future. Even at this stage, he's pretty productive.