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Trump will be removed before he can finish his term

PhDeac said:
That's from May.
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Ahh, I didn't look at the date on the article...Nate Silver retweeted it last week and Micah Cohen, 538's politics editor/host of the 538 politics podcast tweeted it recently too.
 
They were probably making the point that his base shrunk to his current approval so don't expect it to go down any further.
 
PhDeac said:
They were probably making the point that his base shrunk to his current approval so don't expect it to go down any further.
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birdman said:
538 says Trump's base is shrinking:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trumps-base-is-shrinking/amp/
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You'll have to pardon me if I don't pay much attention to what Nate Silver thinks about Donald Trump's chances on anything.


http://blog.dilbert.com/post/127791494211/nate-silver-gives-trump-2-chance-of-getting

Nate Silver Gives Trump 2% Chance of Getting Nominated


http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/five...llary-clinton-wins-election/story?id=40213871

This morning on ABC's “Good Morning America,” FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver predicted that Hillary Clinton will win the presidential election against Donald Trump.

Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning, compared with Trump's 20 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s forecast.
 
Yeah. I see. Seems like a weird thing to tweet after polls showed Trump's approval didn't go down after what pundits on both sides think was his worst week.
 
PhDeac said:
Yeah. I see. Seems like a weird thing to tweet after polls showed Trump's approval didn't go down after what pundits on both sides think was his worst week.
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yeah...two tweets later:

 
bobknightfan said:
You'll have to pardon me if I don't pay much attention to what Nate Silver thinks about Donald Trump's chances on anything.


http://blog.dilbert.com/post/127791494211/nate-silver-gives-trump-2-chance-of-getting

Nate Silver Gives Trump 2% Chance of Getting Nominated


http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/five...llary-clinton-wins-election/story?id=40213871

This morning on ABC's “Good Morning America,” FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver predicted that Hillary Clinton will win the presidential election against Donald Trump.

Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning, compared with Trump's 20 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s forecast.
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TITCR.

Dems still don't get it. The reason Trump won was a repudiation of the self-aggrandizing political correctness that has overtaken their party. Their response? MOAR of it.

They are surprised that Trump's numbers don't suffer. The only reason they ever rose in the first place was the voter's fatigue with their tone-deaf pandering and divisiveness (which they are now doubling down on).

If they really wanted to beat Trump, they'd pipe down and let him govern. If they're correct that he's an unqualified fraud, he'll fail and have no one to deflect it to. But they won't do that. They can't turn off their default setting.
 
538 were the only quantitative analysts to give Trump a double digit chance of winning. In my view they were the only ones to leave the election with any shred of credibility.
 
To be fair, I'd say Trump capitalized on that 2% and 20%. It's not like it was 0. Sometimes longshots win. :noidea:
 
jhmd2000 said:
TITCR.

Dems still don't get it. The reason Trump won was a repudiation of the self-aggrandizing political correctness that has overtaken their party. Their response? MOAR of it.

They are surprised that Trump's numbers don't suffer. The only reason they ever rose in the first place was the voter's fatigue with their tone-deaf pandering and divisiveness (which they are now doubling down on).
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I don't think they are ever going to understand why what happened, happened. They are totally tone deaf in their youthful arrogance. I'm beginning to think that this must be one of the unfortunate by-products of a quarter-million dollar liberal arts degree.
 
Also, DFBKF's cherry picked examples of how wrong 538's predictions were, were from months prior to election. On Election Day they gave Trump a 35% chance of winning.
 
bobknightfan said:
I don't think they are ever going to understand why what happened, happened. They are totally tone deaf in their youthful arrogance. I'm beginning to think that this must be one of the unfortunate by-products of a quarter-million dollar liberal arts degree.
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Trump has no better friends than the shrill left (a distant second is the Republican establishment that never follows through on the wishes of the working families in Rube-country).
 
not surprisingly, just like Trump the shills continue to be obsessed with Trump's only accomplishment
 
jhmd2000 said:
TITCR.

Dems still don't get it. The reason Trump won was a repudiation of the self-aggrandizing political correctness that has overtaken their party. Their response? MOAR of it.

They are surprised that Trump's numbers don't suffer. The only reason they ever rose in the first place was the voter's fatigue with their tone-deaf pandering and divisiveness (which they are now doubling down on).

If they really wanted to beat Trump, they'd pipe down and let him govern. If they're correct that he's an unqualified fraud, he'll fail and have no one to deflect it to. But they won't do that. They can't turn off their default setting.
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It is not the correct response. The response displays absolutely zero understanding of how probabilistic predictive statements work.
 
jhmd2000 said:
If they're correct that he's an unqualified fraud, he'll fail and have no one to deflect it to. But they won't do that.
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Can you elaborate on this? It seems a little circular. Are you saying Dems should support Trump, so that his ridiculous policies on healthcare, immigration and finance pass in order to make Trump look successful, and then try to take the election from him in 2020?

I don't think many Dems would consider Trump a success if he passed his "mean" healthcare bill, built a wall, or relaxed all the laws for stock brokers and fiduciaries.

Also, are you saying you blame the Dems right now (as if blame even matters) for Trump's shortcomings? This nonsense of finger-pointing and feet stamping has gone on for too long.
 
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birdman said:
It is not the correct response. The response displays absolutely zero understanding of how probabilistic predictive statements work.
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1ouh2w.jpg
 
birdman said:
It is not the correct response. The response displays absolutely zero understanding of how probabilistic predictive statements work.
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Tone deaf Dems drunk on P.C. self-righteousness made Trump in the first place, and they're going to keep him afloat. Don't believe me? Just watch.
 
jhmd2000 said:
TITCR.

Dems still don't get it. The reason Trump won was a repudiation of the self-aggrandizing political correctness that has overtaken their party. Their response? MOAR of it.

They are surprised that Trump's numbers don't suffer. The only reason they ever rose in the first place was the voter's fatigue with their tone-deaf pandering and divisiveness (which they are now doubling down on).

If they really wanted to beat Trump, they'd pipe down and let him govern. If they're correct that he's an unqualified fraud, he'll fail and have no one to deflect it to. But they won't do that. They can't turn off their default setting.
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Lol at blaming dems for "doubling down" on tone deaf pandering and divisiveness as some sort of defense for Trump. Nothing is more tone deaf or divisive at this point than tacitly supporting goddamn Nazis.
 
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