How long does it take for an everyday player to accumulate 40 PAs against an individual pitcher?
As I said, I'd start taking a look at it at 20 ABs if the number is dramatically off one way or the other. As to getting to 40 PAs, you're looking at 8-10 starts.
An excellent example rj will never read https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-absurdities-of-batterpitcher-match-up-numbers/
Depends on the where the guy bats and who he has played for.
But it keeps playing out.
Obviously, 2-5 or 1-8 don't matter. When you get 20, 30, 40 ABs, they are indicative of what's more likely to happen.
Lots of options that are walking distance from Minute Maid.
Flying Saucer and Bovine & Barley are beer bars with large tap lists and decent bar food. The Conservatory is a food hall with a large tap list as well. Xochi is probably the best restaurant downtown. Highly recommend it for brunch. There's a great Mediterranean market close by called Phoenicia. Lots of options. Heard Potente is good but never been.
Also for cocktails Bad News Bar, Pastry War (gets crowded real quick), Houston Watch Company, and Public Services are all good options. None of these places have food though.
Justin Turner just keeps on keeping on. Dude is unreal.
I would think a minimum of 10 starts. Pretty rare you are going to get through the lineup 4 times.
Depends on the where the guy bats and who he has played for.
Standing room tickets in Houston are starting at $650. The tickets I spent $199 on stub hub for the ALCS are now $1500.
And quite a few other things. Even if batters hit at the top of the order, don't miss starts, and never walk (because those aren't counted as ABs, but we can just assume you're talking PAs) and they're facing a pitcher from their conference who is getting 35 starts in a season (higher than most top level starters in the modern era), they're only likely to face them at most 8-12 times in a regular season. That's assuming all the highest level of times you can face each other. To get to the 20 benchmark you need those perfect conditions for two straight seasons. Typically it takes somewhere more like 5-7 years for average batter to face an average pitcher 20 times. Over the course of either respective player's career, that stretch likely either represents a massive incline or massive decline, depending on where it happens.
The splits aren't nearly as helpful as lefty/righty or home/away in terms of situational splits. Really aren't useful even when you do have a good sample size for the reasons listed above and the many others in the article.
https://books.google.com/books?id=FrUYdXKZFZwC&printsec=frontcover&source=gbs_ge_summary_r&cad=0#v=twopage&q&f=false
RJ, if you are interested, go read Chapter 3, or just pages 71 through 80. The chapter says not even 60 PAs is enough to provide predictive value.
Also, chapter 2 disproves the "hot hand" theory though it says there is just a tiny bit of predictive value of hot and cold streaks for pitchers.
Agree. Hope he keeps it going.
Kershaw put a lot of ghosts to rest tonight. Wowzers!
Wish he could have finished. But with this bullpen...