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Bullshit Trump Says

PhDeac said:
As bym said, 100% of House seats are up for grabs. And Democrats only have to flip 3 Senate seats starting today. Democrats have outperformed in every election so far. If they do so in 2018, the Senate and House are up for grabs.
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I believe there is a pretty good chance to take the house. The senate is still a tall order. You have to have a net gain of 3. There are only 4 potentially close senate races in states where Pubs hold the seats: today in AL; Flake's seat; Heller; and McCain's if he were to die. And there are a handful of seats that the sitting Dems could lose, and 2 of those are 50/50 at best - Donnelly in IN and McCaskill in MO. If Jones doesn't win today, I don't see flipping the senate next year no matter what is going on with Trump and the economy.
 
palmab03 said:
I don't get how the midterms can be a bloodbath. 80% of the seats that are coming up are currently held by Dems
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What. Is. This.

There are 535 seats in Congress. Every two years, 468 of these seats are up for grabs (all 435 seats in the House and 33 seats in the Senate).

If you're solely referencing the Senate, you're correct that the specific Senate elections are not favorable to the Democrats. If the GOP holds serve on 5 out of 9 seats (five races they are "solid GOP" in Cook Political Report) they are up to 48 seats. Two of the "tossups" on the report are Tennessee and Alabama (likely Moore) which I think the GOP is in pretty safe territory to win as of right now - just demographically speaking. That puts them at 50 and means they don't win any tossups (6 other tossups, in addition to 20 of the 24 Democrat seats being at least lean Democrat - and half being in the solid Democrat category).

ETA: If Jones wins today, Democrats take the Senate if they hold serve on 20 of the 24 that they are projected to hold and wins every tossup. Yes, that's a tall order. However, in the context of "bloodbath" if the Democrats somehow win the House (regardless of what happens in the Senate) then that's a crushing blow for the GOP which, objectively speaking, benefits heavily right now from gerrymandering and has a large advantage numbers-wise in the current House.
 
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cville deac said:
I believe there is a pretty good chance to take the house. The senate is still a tall order. You have to have a net gain of 3. There are only 4 potentially close senate races in states where Pubs hold the seats: today in AL; Flake's seat; Heller; and McCain's if he were to die. And there are a handful of seats that the sitting Dems could lose, and 2 of those are 50/50 at best - Donnelly in IN and McCaskill in MO. If Jones doesn't win today, I don't see flipping the senate next year no matter what is going on with Trump and the economy.
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I agree that the senate is a tall order based on the math but we shouldn't discount Steve Bannon and GOP leadership's ability to fuck things up. They are barely (and might even lose) hanging onto a senate seat in Alabama..which should have been a layup.

Bannon has already promised to primary every GOP incumbent except for Cruz.

With the right Dem or Independent challengers and a few more kooks winning GOP primaries, no Republican senate seat is safe in 2018.
 
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Palma doesn't know what he is talking about? No fucking way.
 
PhDeac said:
It would very easy to tie Gillibrand to Hillary. Hell Trump may call her "Little Crooked Hillary" today.
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Here's the thing though: she's not Hillary. And that matters because the people who "just couldn't vote for Hillary because she was so bad," can vote for Gillibrand in good conscience.

And Gillibrand would destroy Trump in debates even more than Hillary did.
 
AsesinoDeTortugas said:
Here's the thing though: she's not Hillary. And that matters because the people who "just couldn't vote for Hillary because she was so bad," can vote for Gillibrand in good conscience.

And Gillibrand would destroy Trump in debates even more than Hillary did.
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She's not Hillary because the GOP media machine hasn't gotten to her yet. Give them a few months and Republicans will think she's almost as bad as Hillary.

Look at the hit job they've done on Mueller.
 
GOP will do this with any female face (perceived leader or otherwise) of the Democratic Party - Pelosi, Clinton, Warren, Gillibrand, etc and most conservatives will jump on board. Dems need to accept that this will happen and learn to counter it effectively.
 
Phil Bredesen running in Tennessee will at least make that race competitive. He is a former 2 term governor although he has been out of office since 2011.
 
Wakeforest22890 said:
GOP will do this with any female face (perceived leader or otherwise) of the Democratic Party - Pelosi, Clinton, Warren, Gillibrand, etc and most conservatives will jump on board. Dems need to accept that this will happen and learn to counter it effectively.
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Dems didn't figure it out in 25 years of Hillary bashing.
 
At least fellow senator Republican Joni Ernst is willing to stand up for Gillibrand.

Or not.

 
I imagine Trump will scream, later today or tomorrow, "Fake news! I never mentioned sex!", even though he had hours to clarify it on Twitter when it clearly looked like that was what he was insinuating.
 
i thought someone said they already blamed the tweet on a lawyer again. but that might've been a joke
 
ImTheCaptain said:
i thought someone said they already blamed the tweet on a lawyer again. but that might've been a joke
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Yeah, I think that was a joke.

Not only is what he said disgusting on a personal and sexual level, but he accused a sitting Senator of trading sex for money.
 
 
You guys are deranged, he clearly meant that she would do anything "within her power politically to assist her financial allies." Come on!
 
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