First of all, This was my original post. What does the word IF mean?
Later I opined that what other people had done was irrelevant without the context of what they had done in the previous years and what their team's looked like when the returned. No one has shown a single example to compare.
If it's a 20% chance, why would I take exactly those odds, it's a bad bet.
Let met explain this to snarky millennials:
SCORING:
We lost 36.6 ppg when JC, Austin and Dinos left. Let's say Chaundee exceeds our hopes and gets 15 ppg. That still leaves 21.6 ppg to find. For Bryant to get 2.8 ppg is not a stretch.
Bryant improved from 13.8 ppg to 16.2 ppg. - That's 2.4 ppg. The same improvement would put him at 18.6 ppg. That's pretty close to 19 ppg.
Given the amount of lost offense and responsibility Bryant will have, it is not all unreasonable for Bryant to up his average to 19ppg or more.
ASSISTS
With John gone, Bryant will have more responsibility to lead the offense. But this is the harder number to reach because it relies on his teammates.
As a frosh, Bryant averaged 4.4 apg. As a soph, he averaged 5.5 apg. The same progression puts him at 6.6 apg.
If he improves just same amount as he did frosh to soph, Bryant will be at 18.6/6.6. Over a 30 game season, that would 12 points and 12 assists off of 19/7. Of course the snarks would consider this soooooooooo wrong.
It would remind me of the time I used the word "GUESS" or "Guesstimate" to say that 75% of Final 4 participants over a 10 year period were #1 or #2 seeds. Someone looked it up. He was very happy to say that RJ knew nothing. After all 29 of 40 Final 4 teams were #1 or #2 seeds. I was off by 1 our of 40 with off the top of my head. Which is EXACTLY what you guys will do is Bryant goes for 18.8/6.9.
What's HILARIOUS and completely HYPOCRITICAL is townie and others cry and cry alleging my posts are set in stone, because I don't say "I think" or "could" all the time. This time The FIRST WORD in my post was IF, but to them my post was the 11th commandment.
Are you guys doing another jerking off together moment?
I gave good reason why Bryant COULD reach reach those numbers and MAY reach those numbers. But that's not what sad millennials have determined my words mean.
As to bets, over the past 25 years or so, I've made five with people on the board. I won four and lost one. Shorty was honorable and paid off. The one I lost Moon posted that I had welched when not only had paid off the bet several hours before, but he had evidence of my payment. But that is Moon. He lies and attacks no matter what. As to my other three wins, I still haven't been paid. I don't make bets on the board.
But keep on trying guys, maybe after you clean up your jerking off, you'll make some sense.