ConnorEl
Well-known member
Behind a paywall.
Behind a paywall.
The latest fivethirtyeight forecast has Sanders at 1600 pledged delegates and Biden at 1200. Sanders momentum seems to be waning and moderates are coalescing around Biden.
A big Biden win in South Carolina would narrow that projection considerably I guess and it seems that's the way it is trending
That's why I literally waited till yesterday to early vote for Biden.What’s a non-Bernie fan to do with their primary vote at this point?
Seems like only Biden has some chance to beat Sanders as things stand. But I think others are better choices.
Of course I’ll vote for whoever is the Dem nominee in the general.
I know a lot of people here will disagree with this, but I think there are reasons the following makes sense. If no one has a first ballot victory, I think the most logical move is to pick someone who isn't running. If Bernie doesn't have enough delegates and gets the nod, Biden supporters will be less enthused. If Biden gets it without having enough delegates will claim the fix is in. If Bloomberg buys the second ballot, Biden and Bernie supporters will scream. But to get to a consensus candidate, each side will have to agree and get something in the party platform.
It's likely the party is going to be somewhat shaky for several weeks before and a week of two after the convention, but that's better than a total fracture.
I know a lot of people here will disagree with this, but I think there are reasons the following makes sense. If no one has a first ballot victory, I think the most logical move is to pick someone who isn't running. If Bernie doesn't have enough delegates and gets the nod, Biden supporters will be less enthused. If Biden gets it without having enough delegates will claim the fix is in. If Bloomberg buys the second ballot, Biden and Bernie supporters will scream. But to get to a consensus candidate, each side will have to agree and get something in the party platform.
It's likely the party is going to be somewhat shaky for several weeks before and a week of two after the convention, but that's better than a total fracture.
Interesting take on how to beat Trump from Thomas Friedman.
https://www.palmbeachpost.com/opini...ts-heres-sure-fire-way-to-defeat-donald-trump
Bloomberg is all in for NC. He is expecting a big win here.
I’d vote for a third party (hopefully one of the current Dem candidates) before I voted for a brokered Dem candidate who hadn’t even run.
I keep seeing people post that article but I don’t see how that would unify the party. Only a few of those people would commit to serving. Most Democrats don’t want Romney in the next Dem administration. Plenty don’t care about cabinet appointments. Plus promising to leave multiple senate seats open is just dumb. Solid blue MA and dark red AL flipped in special elections. That’s just bad news especially in MN.
I’d argue for a Warren/Klob ticket or Warren/Harris. The two least offensive and most prepared candidates who unfortunately never garnered enough support in spatially strategic locations. Warren has a lot of support nationally, just not enough in the early primary states.
So, you'd vote for Trump in that situation. What else will get you to vote for Trump?
Make no mistake about it, any vote that isn't for a Dem is a vote for Trump regardless of any flimsy, BS excuse you may give.