wsc8521s
Rusty Larue
- Joined
- Mar 20, 2011
- Messages
- 17,160
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- 860
I'm trying to build my hopes on something based on reality and probability. We're unlikely to win the division at this point. The Saints will be favored over the Falcons in NO. The Falcons will be favored over us in Atlanta.
Not huge faves, we're talking 3-4 points in both games. It's likelier than not that either they win in NO or we win in ATL. We only need the former to set up the potential for the latter.
If the Falcons win Week 16, Week 17 is for the division. If the Seahawks win next week and the Falcons beat the Saints, Week 17 is for the division and the loser stays home.
NYT has us at over 98% to make the playoffs under this scenario, at 11-5 with a loss to the 11-5 Falcons (and SEA winning next weekend). Doesn't seem like its worth fretting that we could miss out this way.
Rams and Seahawks both have not-easy road games in Week 16, wouldn't exactly just give them wins in those