Pilchard
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Fangraphs metrics love the Astros and hate the Orioles. Their WS Championship Odds heading into the playoffs:
NL
#1 Seed Braves: 26.8%
#2 Seed Dodgers 14%
#3 Seed Brewers 5.2%
#4 Seed Phils 5.9%
#5 Marlins 1.7%
#6 D-Backs 2.7%
AL
#1 Seed Orioles 5.2%
#2 Seed Astros 19.6%
#3 Seed Twins 2.1%
#4 Seed Rays 6.7%
#5 Seed Rangers 4.3%
#6 Seed Jays 5.7%
Somehow, the Orioles, with a WC round bye and homefield in the ALDS and ALCS, have longer WS odds than two teams (Jays and Rays) that have to win a series just to get to ALDS (the O's also took the season series against those teams); the Orioles are also three times less likely to win the AL pennant than the Astros.
NL
#1 Seed Braves: 26.8%
#2 Seed Dodgers 14%
#3 Seed Brewers 5.2%
#4 Seed Phils 5.9%
#5 Marlins 1.7%
#6 D-Backs 2.7%
AL
#1 Seed Orioles 5.2%
#2 Seed Astros 19.6%
#3 Seed Twins 2.1%
#4 Seed Rays 6.7%
#5 Seed Rangers 4.3%
#6 Seed Jays 5.7%
Somehow, the Orioles, with a WC round bye and homefield in the ALDS and ALCS, have longer WS odds than two teams (Jays and Rays) that have to win a series just to get to ALDS (the O's also took the season series against those teams); the Orioles are also three times less likely to win the AL pennant than the Astros.