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Are we living in a simulation?

the fact that donald trump is the president is indeed much more insane/surreal than hillary clinton being president. c'mon.
 
Simulations typically have parametric bounds that prevent truly outlier events from occurring. Randomness is incorporated into simulations, but they rely on using statistical distributions that have predictable properties (e.g., the normal distribution, the Poisson, etc.). No single value drawn randomly from a distribution is very predictable, but across thousands of randomly drawn samples from that distribution, predictable patterns can be identified. Having said that, the occurrence of outlier events is not evidence of a simulated universe hypothesis; events occurring outside the bounds of simulated statistical distributions would actually be evidence against the hypothesis. However, I have two caveats, 1) I don't think the events cited by the author are so unusual that they could be considered outside the bounds of expected statistical variation and 2) my conclusion here is predicated on the capacity of humans to build simulation models of systems. It is possible that the grand simulator of the universe has and utilizes statistical distributions that we are unfamiliar with or has simulation capacities that are not bounded by the same statistical distribution limits we are. However, when you start assigning those powers to the simulator, they become no different from a god and the hypothesis becomes un-testable.

Sorry for the long answer Biff.
 
Seems like a lot of work to put together a simulation with all of this shit in it, like birds.
 
Chuck Klosterman gets into this simulation theory in his most recent book.
 
Junior Spring Break in Tijuana, RJK simulated sucking this huge donkey dick at one of those super shady club.

Later, we walked in on the Hebrew Hammer taking it up the poop chute from the same diggler donged donkey. This time, however, there was no simulation. Rick swallowed all 12 inches bung style and ended up with one hell of a pink sock. Dougie and moonface worked together on shoving it back up with a Corona bottle. This did the trick until we could get Ricky some proper medical care back in Winston. Hell of a Spring Break, but par for the course for old Rickster.
 
Then what is hot hand then, just the simulation going he's heating up!

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Louis Gossett Jr said:
Then what is hot hand then, just the simulation going he's heating up!

4a9d23158eb70f94ae05bc43a6a7cb7b.jpg
Click to expand...

Honest answer, the programmers probably use a bimodal distribution like a beta distribution with shape parameters that are less than 1 (i.e., decimals) and the resulting draw is the probablity that a shot goes in; that probability is passed on to a Bernouli trial function which returns a 1 if the shot goes in or a 0 if the shot does not. Something like: s=rbinom(1,1,rbeta(1,.8,.7)), where s is the success of a particular shot (obligatory R code). I would guess there are more complicated loop structures whereby each player is locked into a particular beta value for a period of time thus you can have a "hot hand" period where for a few minutes of the simulation a specific player can have a higher probability of success than usual.
 
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birdman said:
Honest answer, the programmers probably use a bimodal distribution like a beta distribution with shape parameters that are less than 1 (i.e., decimals) and the resulting draw is the probably that a shot goes in; that probability is passed on to a Bernouli trial function which returns a 1 if the shot goes in or a 0 if the shot does not. Something like: s=rbinom(1,1,rbeta(1,.8,.7)), where s is the success of a particular shot (obligatory R code). I would guess there are more complicated loop structures whereby each player is locked into a particular beta value for a period of time thus you can have a "hot hand" period where for a few minutes of the simulation a specific player can have a higher probability of success than usual.
Click to expand...

take THAT hearthstone nerd thread; y'all are just minor leagues
 
BiffTannen said:
Seems like a lot of work to put together a simulation with all of this shit in it, like birds.
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Yes, another argument against the grand simulator, I suppose. Though birds could arise out of the randomization built into the original model code. I.e., they were never specifically intended but resulted from the modeled processes and are within the bounds of expected statistical variation.
 
You are also using your simulation mind to try to understand your simulation self which if you could you would no longer be a simulation and therefore you will never get the right formula birdman and should just give up.
 
The metaphor is more interesting than the real thing anyway.
 
Add it to the list of other non-falsifiable things like Creationism and the Loch Ness Monster.
 
I think a lot of peep are still nervous about the Trump fella, and I'm no fan. But you gotta admit, he's done a p good job so far. No major issues, economy booming, everything going p good.
 
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