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How Many Games Will The Wake Forest Demon Deacons Football Team Win This Season (2023) ?

How Many Games Will The Wake Forest Demon Deacons Football Team Win This Season (2023) ?

  • Total voters
    139
  • Poll closed .
Preseason ratings compared to Week 1 per SP+. I'll update these each week. 3 points advantage to rating for HFA and rounded to the nearest .5 point. Wake is 37th in SP+ after the Elon game.

Preseason:

Elon: N/A
-14.5 v. Vandy
-20.5 @ ODU
-14.5 v. Ga. Tech
+20 @ Clemson
-6 @ VT
+.5 v. Pitt
+10 v. FSU
+2 @ Duke
-.5 v. NCSU
+16 @ ND
+.5 @ Cuse

Week 1:

-15 Vandy (-.5 point change)
-26.5 @ ODU (-6 point change)
-17 v. Ga. Tech (-2.5 point change)
+9.5 @ Clemson (-10.5 point change)
-6 @ VT (no change)
+1 v. Pitt (+.5 point change)
+10 v. FSU (no change)
+3.5 @ Duke (+1.5 point change)
-5 v. NCSU (-4.5 point change)
+18.5 @ ND (+2.5 point change)
+3 @ Cuse (+2.5 point change)
 
Old Dominion is the sixth worst FBS team in the country after week one. That Clemson change...my word
 
Surprised GT dropped after a solid showing against Louisville.
 
I'll also note that SP+ views us far more favorably after week one than basically any other rating system I see. Sagarin for instance has the next three games:

-14.5 v. Vandy
-12 @ Old Dominion
-10 v. Georgia Tech

If Wake beats Vandy roughly by 10-14, I'd expect ODU line over -20 though and Tech probably -13.5?
 
Yeah I think we're a little overrated here. I do think around two touchdowns for the Tech game is about right. The ODU is the biggest oddity for me spread wise..I mean it's not common even early in the year to have that big a spread between power ratings systems in my experience. A couple other ones I see have Wake -16.5 and Wake -20.5 so there just seems to be an unknown factor there overall of high variance
 
Opened at WF +13.5. Lots of action on Vandy. The total also dropped from 59.5 to 57.5. Understand the move. WF's defense is improved. Some questions linger about both offenses.
 
I pegged us for 6 games and thought the under 6.5 was the smart bet going into the season. I don’t think we’ve looked better or worse than I originally though but (while it’s only been two weeks), I think our schedule a lot easier, to where now I think the o/u should be 7.5, and I’d be tempted to take the over.
 
IAppreciateIt said:
I pegged us for 6 games and thought the under 6.5 was the smart bet going into the season. I don’t think we’ve looked better or worse than I originally though but (while it’s only been two weeks), I think our schedule a lot easier, to where now I think the o/u should be 7.5, and I’d be tempted to take the over.
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I texted a friend the exact same thing this morning. D may be a little better than expected but I’m altering my win/loss prediction by 1 solely because State and Pitt look way worse than expected. Clemson does too but I still put us at about .0000001% of winning in Death Valley.
 
Week 1 comparison to Week 2 projections now:

Week 1:
-26.5 @ ODU
-17 v. Ga. Tech
+9.5 @ Clemson
-6 @ VT
+1 v. Pitt
+10 v. FSU
+3.5 @ Duke
-5 v. NCSU
+18.5 @ ND
+3 @ Cuse

Week 2:
-22 @ ODU (+4 point change)
-13.5 v. Ga. Tech (+3.5 point change)
+11 @ Clemson (+1.5 point change)
-8.5 @ VT (-2.5 point change)
-2.5 v. Pitt (-3.5 point change)
+12 v. FSU (+2 point change)
+5.5 @ Duke (+2.5 point change)
-9.5 v NCSU (-4.5 point change)
+16.5 @ ND (-2 point change)
+6 @ Cuse (+3 point change)
 
Week 2 to Week 3 changes:

Week 2:
-13.5 v. Ga. Tech
+11 @ Clemson
-8.5 @ VT
-2.5 v. Pitt
+12 v. FSU
+5.5 @ Duke
-9.5 v NCSU
+16.5 @ ND
+6 @ Cuse

Week 3:
-14.5 v. Ga. Tech (-1 point change)
+16.5 Clemson (+5 point change)
-8.5 @ VT (no change)
-3 Pitt (-.5 change)
+10.5 v. FSU (-1.5 point change)
+7.5 @ Duke (+2 point change)
-3.5 NCSU (+6 point change)
+21.5 @ ND (+5 point change)
+6.5 @ Cuse (+.5 point change)
 
well, we are currently listed as 3.5 favorites against GT. we might not be favored in another game all season if something doesn't change. the vegas power ratings might have us as an underdog to make a bowl.
 
I would expect we are favorites against Pitt in Winston unless they have a different QB/something else drastically changes.

I still don't know how good/bad we are, but I do know Phil is absolutely terrible.
 
IAppreciateIt said:
well, we are currently listed as 3.5 favorites against GT. we might not be favored in another game all season if something doesn't change. the vegas power ratings might have us as an underdog to make a bowl.
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We’ve no doubt been worse than projected so far. That said the -3.5 is a really strange line if there aren’t injury concerns/considerations. I know there was sharp money the last two weeks on vandy and old dominion but this line feels like more than that. We should be favored at open against Pitt State and VT though barring a couple bad performances in a row against Tech and Clemson - which is definitely possible
 
Deacsfan27 said:
I would expect we are favorites against Pitt in Winston unless they have a different QB/something else drastically changes.

I still don't know how good/bad we are, but I do know Phil is absolutely terrible.
Click to expand...

are you considering that we are perceived as being on par with georgia tech tho
 
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