Pilchard
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Wednesday, our Deacs have their last chance at a quality road win as WF MBB heads to Raleigh to face the Pack. Here is the link to the earlier scouting report on the Pack. WF is 3-5 in ACC road tilts, and the best conference road win so far is at BC. That's not going to get it done.
After beating WF 79-77 at the Joel, the Pack went 4-2 with home wins over FSU, GT, UNC and a road win at BC. The Pack's two most recent losses: @ UVA by 13 and at Cuse by 3. Since beating WF, the Pack has jumped from #53 in KP to 43. WF is currently #77 (WF was #74 after the 1/31/23 loss to NCS).
Updated conference analytics:
Offense
Efficiency: NCS 108.7 (#4) - WF 111.9 (#2)
TO%: NCS 12% (#1) - WF 14.5% (#5)
Off. Reb. %: NCS 30.3% (#2) - WF 22.3% (#13)
2 PT FG%: NCS 48.5% (#13) - WF 53.3% (#4)
3 PT FG%: NCS 33.5% (#10) - WF 37.6% (#2)
Eff. FG%: NCS 49.1% (#12) - WF 54.7% (#2)
Defense
Efficiency: NCS 102.1 (#6) - WF 108.3 (#9)
TO%: NCS 17.6% (#4) - WF 16.4% (#8)
Off. Reb. %: NCS 26.6% (#6) - WF 26.8% (#7)
2 PT FG%: NCS 50.1 (#5) - WF 51.4% (#10)
3 PT FG%: NCS 30.6% (#1) - WF 36.3% (#13)
Eff. FG%: NCS 48.9% (#5) - WF 52.6% (#11)
Roster update: Since beating WF, NCS senior transfer F Jack Clark (6-8) has returned after missing 10 games. In the last two games, Clark has averaged 10.5 ppg and 8.5 rpg. Clark shoots 29% from 3.
Projections: KP projects a 82-76 NCS win; Torvik 84-77
Great spot for WF. NC State is coming off a big win over rival UNC (the final was deceiving as the game was tied late in the 2nd half before an NCS spurt put the game away); NCS already beat WF at the LJVM. Deacs are in desperation mode, and the Pack essentially have sewn up an NCAA bid. Kind of crazy that the Torvik and KP essentially project the same line (+6.5) as WF/Miami which is a much tougher matchup for the Deacs. For WF to win, Tyree needs to clean up his TO issues (12!!! TOs at Miami; 1 TO against NCS in Game 1), and WF must do a better job against DJ Burns. WF must keep the Pack off the offense boards (WF did a great job protecting the offensive boards against Miami - a team with similar rebounding numbers). Will be on WF as long as the line is 5 or higher.
Win and we can argue against the NET and Bracketology a little longer. A loss, and the an ACCT is WF remaining NCAAT hope. Think the Deacs will play well in Raleigh.
After beating WF 79-77 at the Joel, the Pack went 4-2 with home wins over FSU, GT, UNC and a road win at BC. The Pack's two most recent losses: @ UVA by 13 and at Cuse by 3. Since beating WF, the Pack has jumped from #53 in KP to 43. WF is currently #77 (WF was #74 after the 1/31/23 loss to NCS).
Updated conference analytics:
Offense
Efficiency: NCS 108.7 (#4) - WF 111.9 (#2)
TO%: NCS 12% (#1) - WF 14.5% (#5)
Off. Reb. %: NCS 30.3% (#2) - WF 22.3% (#13)
2 PT FG%: NCS 48.5% (#13) - WF 53.3% (#4)
3 PT FG%: NCS 33.5% (#10) - WF 37.6% (#2)
Eff. FG%: NCS 49.1% (#12) - WF 54.7% (#2)
Defense
Efficiency: NCS 102.1 (#6) - WF 108.3 (#9)
TO%: NCS 17.6% (#4) - WF 16.4% (#8)
Off. Reb. %: NCS 26.6% (#6) - WF 26.8% (#7)
2 PT FG%: NCS 50.1 (#5) - WF 51.4% (#10)
3 PT FG%: NCS 30.6% (#1) - WF 36.3% (#13)
Eff. FG%: NCS 48.9% (#5) - WF 52.6% (#11)
Roster update: Since beating WF, NCS senior transfer F Jack Clark (6-8) has returned after missing 10 games. In the last two games, Clark has averaged 10.5 ppg and 8.5 rpg. Clark shoots 29% from 3.
Projections: KP projects a 82-76 NCS win; Torvik 84-77
Great spot for WF. NC State is coming off a big win over rival UNC (the final was deceiving as the game was tied late in the 2nd half before an NCS spurt put the game away); NCS already beat WF at the LJVM. Deacs are in desperation mode, and the Pack essentially have sewn up an NCAA bid. Kind of crazy that the Torvik and KP essentially project the same line (+6.5) as WF/Miami which is a much tougher matchup for the Deacs. For WF to win, Tyree needs to clean up his TO issues (12!!! TOs at Miami; 1 TO against NCS in Game 1), and WF must do a better job against DJ Burns. WF must keep the Pack off the offense boards (WF did a great job protecting the offensive boards against Miami - a team with similar rebounding numbers). Will be on WF as long as the line is 5 or higher.
Win and we can argue against the NET and Bracketology a little longer. A loss, and the an ACCT is WF remaining NCAAT hope. Think the Deacs will play well in Raleigh.