Pilchard
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Tomorrow night our Deacs play their regular season home finale against BC. Here is the link to the previous report on BC.
BC Season Update: On January 14th, the Deacs toyed with the Eagles winning 85-63 at the Conte Forum. Andrew Carr led WF in scoring (21) and rebounding (13). Deacs didn't need Damari that night as he had his lowest scoring ACC game of the season at BC (3 points in 22 minutes).
Post-January 14 Torvik ratings for BC and WF (national rankings):
BC
#117 6-5
Wins above bubble; -0.7 (#91) "Wins above bubble" (WAB) is a comparison between what the rated team did versus the average team on the bubble. Under this rating, Kansas is the #1 WAB team with 9.2 wins above bubble; Miami is the #1 ACC team with 3.4
Offensive Efficiency: 104.6 (#173)
Defensive Efficiency: 99.7 (#82)
Tempo: 68 poss per game (#183)
3 PT FG% O: 37% (#84)
3 PT FG% D: 34.7% (#198)
WF
#78 5-6
Wins above bubble: -1.4 (#119)
Offensive Eff.: 114.9 (#36)
Def. Eff: 104.1 (#169)
Tempo: 70.7 poss (#40)
3 PT FG% O: 35.9% (#124)
3 PT FG% D: 37.4% (#295)
Schedule update: Last time out (Wednesday 2.22), BC upset UVA 63-48. BC had a "bye" this weekend, and tomorrow night's game is BC last road contest of the season. So, the Eagles will visit W-S rested and ready.
Roster update: When WF worked BC on January 14th, Quinten Post started his first game of the season as he was just rounding into form from injury. Post has steadily improved over the last 5 weeks, and Post now leads BC In: O rating (115.7), 3 PT FG% (45%), 2 PT FG% (57%) and FT% (87%). Deacs have struggled against elite bigs, and Post has become an elite big. Also, freshman Devin McGlockton role for BC has ramped up since January 14, and he has been effective for the Eagles 45% from 3; 56% from 2. BC has gone from a completely incompetent three point shooting team to a decent three point shooting team over the last five weeks.
Projection: KP projects a 79-69 WF win in 69 possessions; Torvik 80-69 WF. Again, these projections fail to factor in Monsanto's absence. Like the ND game, which was also projected to have a double digit spread, but went off at 7, WF will not be favored by 10. Would expect the line to sit around 7. If the total is in the high 140s as projected, the under is the play. WF v. ND went under by 25+ points and was played in 66 possessions. Without Monsanto, this game should also slide under
This is a good spot for BC, they are healthy and are playing their best basketball of the season. Think this game will be low scoring and tight. .
BC Season Update: On January 14th, the Deacs toyed with the Eagles winning 85-63 at the Conte Forum. Andrew Carr led WF in scoring (21) and rebounding (13). Deacs didn't need Damari that night as he had his lowest scoring ACC game of the season at BC (3 points in 22 minutes).
Post-January 14 Torvik ratings for BC and WF (national rankings):
BC
#117 6-5
Wins above bubble; -0.7 (#91) "Wins above bubble" (WAB) is a comparison between what the rated team did versus the average team on the bubble. Under this rating, Kansas is the #1 WAB team with 9.2 wins above bubble; Miami is the #1 ACC team with 3.4
Offensive Efficiency: 104.6 (#173)
Defensive Efficiency: 99.7 (#82)
Tempo: 68 poss per game (#183)
3 PT FG% O: 37% (#84)
3 PT FG% D: 34.7% (#198)
WF
#78 5-6
Wins above bubble: -1.4 (#119)
Offensive Eff.: 114.9 (#36)
Def. Eff: 104.1 (#169)
Tempo: 70.7 poss (#40)
3 PT FG% O: 35.9% (#124)
3 PT FG% D: 37.4% (#295)
Schedule update: Last time out (Wednesday 2.22), BC upset UVA 63-48. BC had a "bye" this weekend, and tomorrow night's game is BC last road contest of the season. So, the Eagles will visit W-S rested and ready.
Roster update: When WF worked BC on January 14th, Quinten Post started his first game of the season as he was just rounding into form from injury. Post has steadily improved over the last 5 weeks, and Post now leads BC In: O rating (115.7), 3 PT FG% (45%), 2 PT FG% (57%) and FT% (87%). Deacs have struggled against elite bigs, and Post has become an elite big. Also, freshman Devin McGlockton role for BC has ramped up since January 14, and he has been effective for the Eagles 45% from 3; 56% from 2. BC has gone from a completely incompetent three point shooting team to a decent three point shooting team over the last five weeks.
Projection: KP projects a 79-69 WF win in 69 possessions; Torvik 80-69 WF. Again, these projections fail to factor in Monsanto's absence. Like the ND game, which was also projected to have a double digit spread, but went off at 7, WF will not be favored by 10. Would expect the line to sit around 7. If the total is in the high 140s as projected, the under is the play. WF v. ND went under by 25+ points and was played in 66 possessions. Without Monsanto, this game should also slide under
This is a good spot for BC, they are healthy and are playing their best basketball of the season. Think this game will be low scoring and tight. .