Pilchard
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- May 3, 2011
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ACCT opens tomorrow in with three games:
GT
ND
Tourney Simulation
Torvik runs a ACCT simulator. Here are the sim results by tourney seed (top 4 seeds auto placed into the quarters; 5-9 auto in the 2nd round):
1. UNC - 78% semis 56% finals 34% champ
2. Duke - 81% semis 58% finals 35% champ
3. UVA - 45% semis 14% finals 5% champ
4. Pitt - 51% semis 18% finals 7% champ
5, WF - 80% quarters 44% semis 17% finals 7% champ
6. Clem - 74% quarters 45% semis 19% finals 8% champ
7. Cuse - 56% quartrs 11% semis 4% finals 1% champ
8. VT - 62% quarters 15% semis 7% finals 2% champ
9. FSU - 38% quarters 6% semis 2% finals 1% champ
10. NC State - 81% round 2 40% quarters 8% semis 3% finals 1% champ
11. BC - 43% round 2 10% quarters 3% semis 1% semis
12. ND - 48% round 2 9% quarters 2% semis
13. GT - 52% round 2 11% quarters 3% semis
14. Miami - 57% round 2 16% quarters 6% semis 2% finals
15. L'ville -19% round 2 3% quarters
Projection for WF 2nd round opponent
For the GT/ND game:
Torvik GT 65-64
KP ND 66-65
KP rates GT at #126 and ND at #124.
During the season, ND swept GT winning 75-68 in OT in Atlanta and 58-55 in South Bend. As everyone is well-aware, WF is 1-2 against ND and GT having lost at ND 70-65 on February 27 and 70-69 at home to GT on March 5th. The Deacs should beat either and WF has revenge motive regardless of who wins. That said, would rather play GT as ND would play a minimal possession game which would be more agonizing. Will update this thread once WF opponent is known.
- #12 GT v. #13 ND
- #10 NC State v. L'ville
- #11 BC v. #14 Miami
GT
ND
Tourney Simulation
Torvik runs a ACCT simulator. Here are the sim results by tourney seed (top 4 seeds auto placed into the quarters; 5-9 auto in the 2nd round):
1. UNC - 78% semis 56% finals 34% champ
2. Duke - 81% semis 58% finals 35% champ
3. UVA - 45% semis 14% finals 5% champ
4. Pitt - 51% semis 18% finals 7% champ
5, WF - 80% quarters 44% semis 17% finals 7% champ
6. Clem - 74% quarters 45% semis 19% finals 8% champ
7. Cuse - 56% quartrs 11% semis 4% finals 1% champ
8. VT - 62% quarters 15% semis 7% finals 2% champ
9. FSU - 38% quarters 6% semis 2% finals 1% champ
10. NC State - 81% round 2 40% quarters 8% semis 3% finals 1% champ
11. BC - 43% round 2 10% quarters 3% semis 1% semis
12. ND - 48% round 2 9% quarters 2% semis
13. GT - 52% round 2 11% quarters 3% semis
14. Miami - 57% round 2 16% quarters 6% semis 2% finals
15. L'ville -19% round 2 3% quarters
Projection for WF 2nd round opponent
For the GT/ND game:
Torvik GT 65-64
KP ND 66-65
KP rates GT at #126 and ND at #124.
During the season, ND swept GT winning 75-68 in OT in Atlanta and 58-55 in South Bend. As everyone is well-aware, WF is 1-2 against ND and GT having lost at ND 70-65 on February 27 and 70-69 at home to GT on March 5th. The Deacs should beat either and WF has revenge motive regardless of who wins. That said, would rather play GT as ND would play a minimal possession game which would be more agonizing. Will update this thread once WF opponent is known.