Pilchard
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- Joined
- May 3, 2011
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The Deacs, losers of three of their last four, look to shake off their Thanksgiving hangover with a Friday Matinee against the Charleston Southern Bucs. Deacs can win this one without Reid or Marsh or pretty much anyone else (although CSU is the type of opponent which Marsh would score 10 points against on 5 dunks). The Bucs are terri-bad.
2023-4 Season: CSU is 2-3 (#344). The question is how could the Bucs fall to the bottom 8% of college basketball with two wins in its first 5 games? Because CSU has beaten two non-D1 programs (Tocoa Falls and Johnson and Wales). Here are the results in CSU's three games against D1 teams:
#301 N. Florida L 70-81
#53 @NC State L 53-87
#349 @Bethune Cookman L 73-79
The Bucs have played one team with a pulse this year, WF peer NC State, and CSU lost by 36. BTW, realize that the athletic budget at CSU is likely limited, but hard to understand how HC Barclay Radebaugh has kept his job. Radebaugh has coached the Bucs since 2006, and after a few mediocre seasons, the wheels have come off the program the last three years:
2021: 3-18 (2-15) #339
2022: 6-25 (1-15) #347
2023: 10-21 (5-13) #302
CSU isn't even competitive in the low-major Big South.
The Analytics:
Weak Offense; Dreadful Defense
Offense (#307)
Effective FG%: 53% (#100)
TO%: 25% (#357)
O Reb%: 26% (#251)
3 PT%: 38% (#53)
2 PT%: 50% (#167)
Defense (#351)
Effective FG%: 54% (#285)
TO%: 12% (#349)
O Reb%: 34% (#299)
3 PT%: 36% (#273)
2 PT%: 54% (#260)
The Bucs turn it over all of the time, and generate no turnovers on D; bad combination. CSU is below average in experience (#207) and average height (#154)
The lineup:
Last time out against Bethune Cookman (the game was not as close as the final score), CSU started:
6-1 So. RJ Johnson: Holy Cross transfer; two year starter; double figures in all 5 CSU games; 12 TOs in three games against D1 teams; 94% from the line
6-6 Jr. Daren Patrick: USF transfer; rep as a three point sniper; 33% this season; 9+ ppg against D1 teams;
6-7 Jo. Louis Hutchinson: URI transfer; 11 points and 7 boards against NC State;
6-7 Jr. Taje' Kelly: 255 pounds; leading rebounder; doesn't shoot threes;
6-9 Sr. Reginald Duhart: App. State transfer; first year as a starter; had a season high 8 points against BC; averaging 5 rpg
The bench:
6-4 So. A'lahn Sumler: N. KY transfer; coming off a career high 18 points last time out (6 for 7 from three); prior to yesterday never hit more than two threes in a game
6-4 So. Gaddis Heath: has two total points in three games against D1 teams; did have 4 rebounds against BC
The projection: WF plays three sub-300 teams on its schedule, and at #344, CSU is the worst. WF played a similarly awful Buc team two years ago, and WF won 95-59 (Cam had 10 points 8 boards and 4 assists in 19 minutes). KP projects a 83-63 WF win; Torvik 86-65 WF. Hope Vegas sets the line without adjusting KP's projections because if the line is 20 or 21; WF is the play. Realize WF has a limited bench, but, Deacs just played 4 games in row against reasonably high-level teams; this is a huge step-down in class, even from Elon. Deacs need a breather as, after CSU, WF hosts Florida and Rutgers. WF takes out its frustrations from the last week and cruises by 25+.
2023-4 Season: CSU is 2-3 (#344). The question is how could the Bucs fall to the bottom 8% of college basketball with two wins in its first 5 games? Because CSU has beaten two non-D1 programs (Tocoa Falls and Johnson and Wales). Here are the results in CSU's three games against D1 teams:
#301 N. Florida L 70-81
#53 @NC State L 53-87
#349 @Bethune Cookman L 73-79
The Bucs have played one team with a pulse this year, WF peer NC State, and CSU lost by 36. BTW, realize that the athletic budget at CSU is likely limited, but hard to understand how HC Barclay Radebaugh has kept his job. Radebaugh has coached the Bucs since 2006, and after a few mediocre seasons, the wheels have come off the program the last three years:
2021: 3-18 (2-15) #339
2022: 6-25 (1-15) #347
2023: 10-21 (5-13) #302
CSU isn't even competitive in the low-major Big South.
The Analytics:
Weak Offense; Dreadful Defense
Offense (#307)
Effective FG%: 53% (#100)
TO%: 25% (#357)
O Reb%: 26% (#251)
3 PT%: 38% (#53)
2 PT%: 50% (#167)
Defense (#351)
Effective FG%: 54% (#285)
TO%: 12% (#349)
O Reb%: 34% (#299)
3 PT%: 36% (#273)
2 PT%: 54% (#260)
The Bucs turn it over all of the time, and generate no turnovers on D; bad combination. CSU is below average in experience (#207) and average height (#154)
The lineup:
Last time out against Bethune Cookman (the game was not as close as the final score), CSU started:
6-1 So. RJ Johnson: Holy Cross transfer; two year starter; double figures in all 5 CSU games; 12 TOs in three games against D1 teams; 94% from the line
6-6 Jr. Daren Patrick: USF transfer; rep as a three point sniper; 33% this season; 9+ ppg against D1 teams;
6-7 Jo. Louis Hutchinson: URI transfer; 11 points and 7 boards against NC State;
6-7 Jr. Taje' Kelly: 255 pounds; leading rebounder; doesn't shoot threes;
6-9 Sr. Reginald Duhart: App. State transfer; first year as a starter; had a season high 8 points against BC; averaging 5 rpg
The bench:
6-4 So. A'lahn Sumler: N. KY transfer; coming off a career high 18 points last time out (6 for 7 from three); prior to yesterday never hit more than two threes in a game
6-4 So. Gaddis Heath: has two total points in three games against D1 teams; did have 4 rebounds against BC
The projection: WF plays three sub-300 teams on its schedule, and at #344, CSU is the worst. WF played a similarly awful Buc team two years ago, and WF won 95-59 (Cam had 10 points 8 boards and 4 assists in 19 minutes). KP projects a 83-63 WF win; Torvik 86-65 WF. Hope Vegas sets the line without adjusting KP's projections because if the line is 20 or 21; WF is the play. Realize WF has a limited bench, but, Deacs just played 4 games in row against reasonably high-level teams; this is a huge step-down in class, even from Elon. Deacs need a breather as, after CSU, WF hosts Florida and Rutgers. WF takes out its frustrations from the last week and cruises by 25+.
