Like the Eagles at home. If you throw out the last game of the season against Dallas when the Eagles rested starters, Philly is 8-0 at home this year (with an average margin of victory of 15 ppg; granted most of those wins came with Wentz at QB, but the fact remains that Eagles have been really good all around at home -- defense has allowed 10 or less 6 times this year in home games) and 6-1-1 ATS. Philly beat Minnesota at the Linc last year 21-10. Minnesota has been decent on the road this past year (5-2; they also played the Browns in London), but MN lost to the two playoff teams that they played on the road (at Pitt by 17; at CAR by 7).
Surprised that Philly is catching more than a FG as the game is likely to be close and low-scoring, and HF is important here. Give me the Eagles.
Not sure what to do about the Jags/Pats. Lost in the euphoria of the Jags win is the fact that their excellent defense was shredded by Ben R (469 yards - 5TDs) and the Steeler receivers. How much better will the defense be against Brady, even if the Pats receiver talent is step behind Pitt? Got to think that NE will at least get to the high 20s. Seems more likely that the Jags' offense will play like the team that only generated 10 points against Buffalo instead of the team that hung 45 on the Steelers (with 14 directly secured by the Jags defense). Also, Fournette was banged up last week, he has got to have a big game for the Jags to have a chance. Underdogs of 7 or more are money in the NFL playoffs, and the fact that both coordinators are likely leaving New England has got to be a distraction. Even so, the Pats cold-bolded efficiency is scary. Pass for now.