Kenpom is off on some of those. MD, State and UNC are too low, and Miami is a bit high (especially with Johnson gone till late February). And trust me, UVA is WAY too high. They have a 2nd team SF and 2 improved and underrated PFs in Atkins and Mitchell (who will dominate us inside). But without Brogdon and Evans, they have NO guards. They've been starting Tevin Jones at PG, who is a freshman and maybe not quite as good as his namesakes at Wake, and Jesperson at SG, who is a weak sophomore SF. And they have an interesting freshman big man who is a bit of a project. They'll have a losing record in the ACC unless they can get Evans back, and word today is he's going to give his stress fractured foot a go. Best of luck to them - I'm taking an old UNC friend - detente and all. I also don't think we'll be last. Every team outside of the Research Triangle is weak save maybe Md@Alaska. We'll have enough decent shooting nights to win 5-6, which should be more than BC and maybe another weak sister or 2.