I just don't think there is any historical evidence for your position, Bacon.
There were plenty of guns in pre-Revolutionary America. There were plenty of guns in pre-Hitler Germany. There was no shortage of guns in Syria, Iraq, or any of a number of African countries with crappy governments. On the other hand, for the last several decades, gun ownership has been very restricted in most economically developed countries with very little evidence that disarming the populace led to tyranny. in fact, most of those Western European countries without guns have a greater respect for their citizens' rights, in a lot of ways, than America does with its insanely high incarceration rates and NSA shenanigans.
It's not that I don't understand your theory, I just don't think there's much in the way of empirical support for it. Absent that support, it's hard to give it much weight in the regulation vs. gun freedom debate.