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The Bubble

mississippi st is on a 4 game losing streak with LSU tomorrow

I think LSU could boost our rating and knock out miss st in one win!
 
Colorado State takes their first double-digit lead of the day with 0:39 to play over putrid San Jose State.
 
cville deac said:
I know, but have you seen them play? Getting to .500 in the B12 is an achievement, and I have zero problem with them getting 8-9 bids. Wake, UVA and Pitt would be no better than 7-11 in that conference. Hell, Even UCF and Cincy would be at least .500 in this ACC. TCU took down Houston and Baylor this year. Wake and UVA couldn't come within single digits of those 2. Feel free to trash every other conference all you want, but the B12 schedule is quite the gauntlet.
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you believe what you want to believe - Wake played Duke basically even home and home over 80 minutes, and Duke beat Baylor by 8 on a neutral floor
 
buckets said:
people shit all over the ACC last season and then acc showed well in the tournament
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Look, you can’t go by previous appearances, which is exactly why 11 teams from Mountain West deserve to go.

Wait, there are 11 teams and they’re expected to send 9? What the hell world are we in?
 
DeacInVermont said:
What does Wednesday have in store? There are some games that have marginal NET implications, but I'll leave those observations to someone else.

  • FSU vs. VaTech(12pm) - If you're concerned about VT claiming a bubble spot, you can pull for FSU. Alternatively, if VT wins here and beats UNC, that makes a path to the semis a bit clearer.
  • Oklahoma over TCU(3pm)- Lunardi has this as a "win and in" game, but it seems TCU is more at risk of being left out with a loss.
  • SJSU over Colorado St.(4:30pm)- CSU has a pretty thin profile for a team not considered all that close to the bubble. This could be a loss that has the committee give them a 2nd look. However, we don't want any bid thieves out of the MWC.
  • McNeese over Nicholls(5pm)- Let's let McNeese claim the autobid here.
  • Rutgers over Maryland(6:30pm) - An ever so slight help to the metrics.
  • Georgetown over Providence(6:30pm)- Friars are on the bubble a loss would knock them off.
  • Air Force over New Mexico(7pm)- Lunardi has UNM as out with a loss. They're the weakest of the MWC bubble teams.
  • Texas over KState(7pm)- Knock KSU out of future consideration.
  • NCSU over Syracuse(7pm)- A battle of #s 79 and 80 in the NET. Syracuse has more of a bubble case, it seems.
  • DePaul over Villanova(9pm)- Villanova could not absorb a loss to the Blue Demons.
  • Kansas over Cincy(9:30pm)- Kansas is depleted, but let's not let Cincy try to make a bubble case.
  • Clemson over BC(9:30pm)- Best to keep our Clemson win as Quad 1.
  • Arizona St. over Utah(11:30pm)- Could be a "lose and you're out" game for the Utes.
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You need to continue to work on your quickness and not worry about other teams.
 
Ball State Deac said:
You need to continue to work on your quickness and not worry about other teams.
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Look, I know I'm in charge of shutting down Blake Hinson. But how can I focus on that when Filipowski could release his bowels all over the duke blue floor of the ACC tournament at any moment AND the MWC could get more teams in the tournament than they deserve?
 
Wakeforest22890 said:
Definitely a lose and out game for Utah IMO.

The Torvik rooting guide has the following games in order as the top leverage for our bubble hopes (just to add to Vermont's list which is great). I don't necessarily understand what Torvik uses to assess these games, but it's a fine proxy:

Wake over ND (obviously)
Depaul over Nova
Rutgers over Maryland
Saint Louis over Duquesne (no idea here - makes it easier for Dayton to win the A10?)
SJSU over Colorado State
Oklahoma over TCU
State over Syracuse

Each of those results would increase our bid% by at least 1% relative to the opposite result occurring.
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State is about the only one of these that worked out for us other than our win.
 
state looking like they could bump from Q2 Loss/Q3 Win to Q1 Loss/Q2 Win
 
Villanova only up 2 against 3-28 DePaul at halftime.

Nova will almost certainly kill them in the second half, but all the other bubble team fans are big DePaul fans here
 
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