Fuck Your Couch
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Well he's under a different pressure for clicks now that his site is owned by ABC/ESPN instead of running his own blog that blew up.
What craziness will happen next week at DNC Convention?
- Thread starter Warwick Davis
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ThinkingWithMyDeac
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Yeah which makes tons of sense but unlike most sites his reputation must match the data and clickbait makes people slowly begin to question motives.
ImTheCaptain
I disagree with you
The only thing that affects silver is how accurate his analysis is.
Win and the fans will show up.
Win and the fans will show up.
FuckmouthedRube
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Trump stalled at -1. Typical bounce is 5 points, he moved 3 points. Doesn't matter if a crappy convention resulted in a subpar bounce or if Kaine shaved 2 points off his expected bounce. Definitely believe the former. With the expected bounce, HRC should be up 6 by the end of next week. Anything less than a 4 point lead by then is a problem.
Hillary's main SuperPAC will spend $2-3M/week from now on. If they don't move Trump's numbers down during the Olympics, it's not money well spent. Better ROI would be swing state registration and GOTV activities.
Trump's campaign doesn't have a whole lot of money and isn't advertising. Also depending on RNC and state parties for GOTV activities. Overtly going after Kasich was insane.
End of August should be a pretty good idea of what Trump's prospects are. Lost WI in the primaries. Ryan's district is a general election swing district. Doubt it happens, but Ryan losing his primary would be a good omen for Trump. Would mean Tea Party has become stronger in WI. Same thing with McCain's August primary. Establishment wins in states he needs wouldn't be a good omen.
Neither side dropped any bombs during the conventions. Any dirt Trump has on the Clintons will come out during the debates. Hillary has a temper and can be baited, so she can't afford to lose it while on the same stage with Trump no matter what he does. Probably should try and bait him a bit, since that's when he hurts himself most, but she may prefer to appear presidential rather than getting into a slug fest.
Hillary's main SuperPAC will spend $2-3M/week from now on. If they don't move Trump's numbers down during the Olympics, it's not money well spent. Better ROI would be swing state registration and GOTV activities.
Trump's campaign doesn't have a whole lot of money and isn't advertising. Also depending on RNC and state parties for GOTV activities. Overtly going after Kasich was insane.
End of August should be a pretty good idea of what Trump's prospects are. Lost WI in the primaries. Ryan's district is a general election swing district. Doubt it happens, but Ryan losing his primary would be a good omen for Trump. Would mean Tea Party has become stronger in WI. Same thing with McCain's August primary. Establishment wins in states he needs wouldn't be a good omen.
Neither side dropped any bombs during the conventions. Any dirt Trump has on the Clintons will come out during the debates. Hillary has a temper and can be baited, so she can't afford to lose it while on the same stage with Trump no matter what he does. Probably should try and bait him a bit, since that's when he hurts himself most, but she may prefer to appear presidential rather than getting into a slug fest.