Jamison2Carter
Active member
The spatial distribution of the turn was what was flawed. Clinton won the popular vote (so far) by 1.3 %. She is currently up to 63.5 million votes, only about 1.5 million behind Obama in 2012, she just didn't win votes the right locations. And really, the only really bad states were the predictions for Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
In states that flipped to Trump or were 5 points or closer this cycle, Clinton did approximately 5.5% worse on average than Obama in 2012. Comparing her raw vote totals to Obama isn't really as helpful as comparing her % performance in swing states given the overall difference in turnout.
ETA: Dave wasserman stats
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