The most recent polling from Ohio isn't all that bad for Romney:
Gravis Marketing 9/2 - 9/2 1381 RV2.94447Romney +3
Columbus Dispatch*8/15 - 8/25 1758 LV2.14545Tie
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.8/16 - 8/21 847 LV3.44946Obama +3
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac8/15 - 8/21 1253 LV3.05044Obama +6
When it gets to be about Wednesday or Thursday of next week, we can see where the overall and battleground numbers settle.
Carter, burdened with 21% interest rates, double digit unemployment, etc., was ahead of Reagan in one poll on the Friday before the election, and Reagan was ahead in the other. The tie broke and Reagan won a solid victory.
At this point in 2008 Obama was ahead of McCain by approximately 7-8 points.
I just think some people are looking at some of these numbers as being final. Romney is well positioned to win the election, and of course, as the incumbent Obama can win as well. Without boring you, my prediction from May still holds. Romney will win 53 to Obama's 47. There are many factors that point in that direction.