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'17 Specials & '18 Midterms Thread

PhDeac said:
Oh I'm sure she flipped around the lanyard before the picture. I'm saying it's good on him for taking a picture with a constituent at the airport instead of blowing her off.
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That’s a pretty low bar.
 
Just for the sake of organization, could we have the Dem party discussion on this thread:

https://www.ogboards.com/forums/showthread.php/26933-Ongoing-Dem-Debacle-Thread-A-New-Hope/page49

I'm a fan of Brian Schatz, ftr, and he makes a good point. But it's Tuesday, which means it's election day:

Special election Tuesday to fill seat held by Jim Patterson

Terry Jones illustrated his point by saying he never had more than six people - including himself and his wife - canvassing voters four years ago on any one day. But on the first day of knocking on doors of this campaign, Jones said there were 27 volunteers.
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Given those numbers, Reynolds said the GOP is doing all it can to keep control of the seat held by Patterson, a Republican.

"We're taking this very serious," said Reynolds, a former Huntsville police chief and city administrator.

Reynolds credited support from Madison County GOP chair Sam Givhan as well as state GOP chair Terry Lathan.

Reynolds has also held a substantial fundraising advantage, having spent more than $40,000 in his campaign compared to Jones' less than $2,000.
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Republican incumbent won pretty handily the last time he had a competitor. (Which was the same Dem.) Look at this gerrymandering:

Alabama District 21

Also:

Romney: I'm more of a hawk on immigration than Trump
 
Romeny used to be fairly reasonable. He sees how radical the GOP in Utah has become and has given up his older principles. Sad,
 
GOP scrambles to avert another election dumpster fire

The National Republican Congressional Committee on Monday launched a coordinated, $170,000 TV buy with the campaign of candidate Debbie Lesko, according to a source familiar with the purchase. The Congressional Leadership Fund, a deep-pocketed GOP super PAC, is planning to spend about $100,000 on a phone and digital effort aimed at turning out conservative voters. Early voting starts on Wednesday.

The Republican National Committee, meanwhile, is spending about $280,000 on a field operation to bolster Lesko. She’s running to replace GOP Rep. Trent Franks, an eight-term congressman who resigned from his seat last year after reports that he pressed female aides to serve as a surrogate mother. Trump’s political team is also considering a range of options for getting involved in the race.

Republicans insist the efforts are precautionary and that they fully expect to prevail in an April 24 special election. Two senior party officials who’ve reviewed polling in recent days said Lesko held a double-digit lead.
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This is even more of a long shot than PA 18, but still good to force Republicans to spend some money.

Also OMG, I had forgotten why Trent Franks resigned.
 
She seems like a good candidate and hopefully she does well. The Dems lack of a bench is a big issue, but it's been nice seeing people with impressive resumes outside of politics step up to run.

Exclusive: U.S. miners' union to endorse two more Democrats in coal country

The United Mine Workers of America on Friday will endorse Richard Ojeda for U.S. Representative in the state’s third district, as well as incumbent Senator Joe Manchin, a Democrat and former West Virginia governor, the sources said. They asked not to be named as they were discussing a confidential matter.

The union sees Ojeda and Manchin as supportive of major issues facing coal miners, particularly efforts to preserve their pensions, the sources said. In addition, neither candidate has fully embraced the Democratic Party’s push for climate regulation, a sticking point for miners.
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The endorsements in West Virginia this week follow the union’s support for Conor Lamb in a special election for a House seat in Pennsylvania that he won earlier this month.

Political observers have said that upset could be a bellwether for future races in areas that had supported Trump. The UMWA had organized a rally, door-to-door canvassing, and phone bank operations for Lamb.
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avalon said:
Just for the sake of organization, could we have the Dem party discussion on this thread:

https://www.ogboards.com/forums/showthread.php/26933-Ongoing-Dem-Debacle-Thread-A-New-Hope/page49

I'm a fan of Brian Schatz, ftr, and he makes a good point. But it's Tuesday, which means it's election day:

Special election Tuesday to fill seat held by Jim Patterson





Republican incumbent won pretty handily the last time he had a competitor. (Which was the same Dem.) Look at this gerrymandering:

Alabama District 21

Also:

Romney: I'm more of a hawk on immigration than Trump
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Reynolds won in a low turnout vote but by a smaller margin than before.
 
State GOP, business lobby dump money in [Wisconsin state] Supreme Court race

Although the race is officially nonpartisan, the state GOP and other conservative groups have spent heavily to help Screnock, a Sauk County circuit judge. Dallet, a Milwaukee County circuit judge, has the backing of liberals, labor unions, Planned Parenthood and state and local teachers' unions. She has not received any money from the state Democratic Party or any of its local affiliates.

Reports filed with the state on Monday show of the roughly $900,000 Screnock has raised for the race, 38 percent, or $345,000, came from the state Republican Party. Screnock, who was appointed judge by Republican Gov. Scott Walker in 2015, has received five times more money from the GOP than any other Supreme Court candidate, a review of finance records by the liberal group One Wisconsin Now showed.
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Be Skeptical Of Anyone Who Tells You They Know How Democrats Can Win In November

A null finding like this can be frustrating, but it’s still valuable information, not least because it helps dispel narratives like the “suburban surge” that have little grounding in reality. One thing the data does show is that Democrats are capable of winning districts of all kinds, even if it doesn’t always work out that way. That should reassure the party that there may not be a wrong answer when choosing which types of districts to target — at least when it comes to demographics. (Some other factor, such as candidate quality, may better explain when Democrats overperform and when they don’t.) For those of you thirsty for a grand conclusion to draw from this exercise, here it is: Be skeptical of any argument that claims to know one correct path forward for Democrats.
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Staten Island Congressman Says He Never Used His Political Office to Help Girlfriend's Son After Drug Arrest

New York Rep. Dan Donovan is fighting allegations that he used his political power for family gain, and claims GOP challenger and former congressman Michael Grimm is behind the complaint.

The Republican, who represents Staten Island and parts of Brooklyn, is the center of a federal ethics investigation after an anonymous tipster told congressional investigators that Donovan used his political power to help his girlfriend Serena Stonick's son beat a drug charge in December 2015.
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Michael Grimm:



Michael Grimm, a Former Congressman and Felon, Wants His Job Back

The brash Mr. Grimm is seeking to revive his political career with an unusual blend of patriotism and victimhood. While apologizing for his past crimes, he said he had faced “the entire Obama Justice Department weaponized against me” and vowed to return to public service.

“This is Middle America,” Mr. Grimm declared moments after taking the stage. Before the national anthem, he not so subtly invoked Mr. Trump to cheers: “I know no one here is going to be taking a knee.”
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hese days, just about any state-level election attracts a lot of interest, as people search for clues about what is going to happen in November. That is particularly true of the states that Donald Trump won by less than 1% of the total vote—Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. And so, Tuesday's election for a new justice on the Wisconsin Supreme Court was national news. The winner was Rebecca Dallet, a liberal Democrat, whose 55.7% of the vote dispatched Republican Michael Screnock and his 44.3%. Nearly a million Wisconsinites cast ballots, which is a staggering number for a special election, particularly one being held in the midst of a snowstorm.
Officially, seats on the court are nonpartisan, though these days it's hard to say that with a straight face. This election fell particularly short of that standard, as heavyweights from both sides of the aisle weighed in. Dallet had endorsements from Joe Biden and Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ), among others, while Gov. Scott Walker (R-WI) and the NRA campaigned hard for Screnock. With the victory, the Republicans' majority on the court was shaved to 4-3. Meanwhile, the Party has that much more reason to be nervous about what's coming in November.
 
That's a double digit win in a statewide Wisconsin race. (A win over not just Republicans, but the NRA.)

 
He’s dismissing a lot of constituents as “Far Left.”
 
avalon said:
That's a double digit win in a statewide Wisconsin race. (A win over not just Republicans, but the NRA.)

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He should learn the lessons of 2016.
 
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