And while we’re on the subject of BartTorvik, the Teamcast feature on that site is one of my favorite toys. You can simulate the rest of the season and see what seed you would likely be with the outcomes. They have us as a 9 seed currently. Here are our outcomes:
Win out: 7 seed
Only loss @ Duke: 9 seed
Losses @ Duke and @ Clemson: 9 seed
L’s @ Duke, Clemson and NCST: 9 seed
Three road losses and L at home to ND or Miami: First Four out
L’s @ Duke and Clemson, home loss to either ND or Miami: 11 seed
Obviously all these could be off a seed line or so because others will have surprising losses and wins (if we win out I’d bet we’d be on the 6 line), but the main thing this shows me is that we must win out at home to feel comfortable going in to the ACCT that we don’t have to win a game to be on the right side of the bubble.
ETA: Or win @ Clemson and @ State. If we do that and drop one of the home games we’re still a 9 seed.