Palm logic
-Houston (19-2/8-0): 4-2 vs. Quad 1/2, #122 SOS= 4 seed.
-USC (19-3/9-3): 5-3 vs. Quad 1/2, #133 SOS= 9 seed.
-Wake Forest (18-5/8-4): 3-5 vs. Quad 1/2= Next 4 Out?
-Houston has zero Quad 1 wins. USC has two. Wake has one. The ACC and Pac-12 are both better leagues than the AAC by any metric.
Houston is very good (#2 NET/#6 KP/#2 BPI). My point is what is his evaluation criteria? From my analysis he seems to heavily weigh Quad 1 wins, perhaps more than anyone else. Stanford is a prime example. They have four wins vs. Quad 1: USC (home/road), Wyoming (neutral), Washington St. (away); and two wins vs. Quad 2: Oregon (home) and Liberty (neutral). They were blown out by Santa Clara on the road (#76 NET/#72 KP), which was a somewhat similar result to Wake's loss at Syracuse (#91 NET/#77 KP). Except Stanford was never in the game after the first few minutes (-15 at 10 minute mark of 1st half, -13 at half). Stanford also lost at Colorado by 4 (#101 NET/#102 KP) and at Washington by 3 (#126 NET/#129 KP), both of which are comparable to Wake's loss at Louisville. Stanford also has losses against elite/near elite teams in which they were totally non-competitive: at Baylor by 38, at UCLA by 23, at home against Arizona by 28, and against Texas on a neutral court by 7 (-9 at half, -18 at 10 minute mark of second half). They're 13-8 overall and 6-5 in the Pac-12, which is the KP #5 conference while the ACC is KP #6. These are the real indicators, in my opinion. Stanford has some quality wins against lower end projected NCAAT teams while getting destroyed against top competition. Stanford is #92 NET/#93 KP, Wake is #44 NET/#43 KP. Stanford is #54 SOR (strength of record), Wake is #32 SOR.
-Iona (18-3): 3-3 vs. Quad 1/2, #120 SOS, #58 NET/#71 KP= 9 seed
-San Diego St. (12-5): 3-5 vs. Quad 1/2, #88 SOS, #48 NET/#35 KP= 10 seed
-Loyola-Chicago (17-4): 3-4 vs. Quad 1/2, #151 SOS, #32 NET/#33 KP= 10 seed
-Wake Forest (18-5): 3-5 vs. Quad 1/2, #84 SOS, #44 NET/#43 KP= Next 4 Out?
Jerry Palm vs. Bracket Matrix aggregate
These teams are all two or more seed lines above or below their average on Bracket Matrix. Italicized teams are 3 or more seed lines above or below the BM average, essentially seeding outliers:
-Providence: Palm= 2 seed; BM= 4 seed
-Villanova: Palm= 5 seed; BM= 3 seed
-LSU: Palm= 6 seed; BM= 4 seed
-Stanford: Palm= 12 seed/Last Four In; BM= Next Four Out
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TCU: Palm= 6 seed; BM= 9 seed
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BYU: Palm= 12 seed/Last Four In; BM= 8 seed
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Iona: Palm= 9 seed; BM= 12 seed/Automatic Qualifier
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Wake Forest: Palm= Next Four Out?; BM= 10 seed (selected in 103/110 brackets)
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Arkansas: Palm= Next Four Out?; BM= 11 seed (selected in 106/110 brackets)
Wake and Arkansas have a question mark because Palm only includes First Four Out so I'm assuming they would be Next Four Out. Wake is in the field in 103/110 brackets. They're in the First Four in 6/103 brackets. They're First Four Out in 6/7 in which they're not in the field. The only individual's bracket in which they're not in any of these categories: JERRY PALM.
https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/bracketology/
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/