This is NOT scientific at all, but there are 13 games left in the season.
I know there are metrics and quads and all sorts of things that I pay a lot of attention to.
HOWEVER
I am looking at it as simple as this:
6-7 or worse = No NCAA Tourney
7-6 = Sweating on Selection Sunday; Work to do in ACC Tourney
8-5 or better = NCAAs
6-7 gets us to 19-12 (11-9) - That just doesn't feel like enough, regardless of who the Ws and Ls are against.
7-6 is 20-11 (12-8) - Depends on a lot of things, including who we beat and what the ACC standings look like.
8-5 is 21-10 (13-7) - Feels like enough with this schedule. 8 wins from here would mean there were some impressive victories in there. You can't get to that number without piling up some Q1s and moving up significantly in NET.
So, while I'll continue to look at the metrics almost daily, it feels to me like 8 wins over the next 13 is enough to get the job done.